Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Rafael Devers

matchup for Elvin Rodriguez

335th out of 436 (Worst 23%)

Elvin Rodriguez

matchup for Rafael Devers

out of 567 (Worst %)

Extreme advantage for Devers

Rafael Devers has a 38.2% chance of reaching base vs Elvin Rodriguez, which is 4.8% higher than Devers's typical expectations, and 2.9% higher than batters facing Rodriguez.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	38.2%	23.4%	3.3%	5.7%	14.4%	14.8%	24.5%
Devers	+4.8	+1.5	+0.3	+0.3	+1.0	+3.2	-3.9
Rodriguez	+2.9	-1.2	+0.3	-0.3	-1.2	+4.1	+2.9

Rafael Devers is better vs right-handed pitching. Elvin Rodriguez is right handed .

Elvin Rodriguez throws a 4-seam fastball 51% of the time. Rafael Devers has a C+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

51%

Slider (R)

21%

Changeup (R)

13%

Curve (R)

12%

9% of Elvin Rodriguez's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Rafael Devers has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 9%

+3%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Non-Competitive 14%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Strong Challenge 3%

-2%

Weak Challenge 4%

-4%

35% of Elvin Rodriguez's pitches are classified as Medium Fast Velocity, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Rafael Devers has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Fast Velo 35%

+20%

High Ride 30%

+20%

Medium Break 30%

+10%

17.2% of Rafael Devers's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.4% higher than the league average. Elvin Rodriguez strikes out 16.4% of the batters he faces, which is 6.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +4.4% +6.5% 4%

Walk +0.3% +4.1% 41%

In Play -4.7% -10.5% 39%

On Base -1.3% +8.4% 31%

Hit -1.6% +4.3% 14%

Single -1.6% +0.1% 13%

2B / 3B -1.2% +0.5% 3%

Home Run +1.2% +3.7%

34.5% of Rafael Devers's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.1% higher than the league average. Elvin Rodriguez induces Standard Grounders at a 25.8% rate, which is 8.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.4% +0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.1% -8.6% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.3% +3.6% 14%

Low Screamer -1.6% +0.8% 9%

Rising Liner +0.3% -4.4% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.3% -1.2% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% +5.7% 1%

No Doubter +0.6% +1.9% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.1% +0.7% 3%

Pop up -0.5% +0.9%

37.9% of Rafael Devers's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 13.6% higher than the league average. 34.7% of batted balls allowed by Elvin Rodriguez are hit at above 100 mph, which is 10.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -4.0% -7.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.4% -0.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.0% -2.9% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.2% +0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph +13.6% +10.4%

9.8% of Rafael Devers's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.7% lower than the league average. 15.4% of batted balls allowed by Elvin Rodriguez are hit at this angle, which is 3.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%