Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Rafael Devers

matchup for Tanner Houck

321st out of 436 (Worst 27%)

Tanner Houck

matchup for Rafael Devers

285th out of 567 (Best 51%)

Moderate advantage for Devers

Rafael Devers has a 33.9% chance of reaching base vs Tanner Houck, which is 0.5% higher than Devers's typical expectations, and 2.1% higher than batters facing Houck.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.9%	22.5%	2.0%	5.1%	15.4%	11.4%	21.8%
Devers	+0.5	+0.6	-1.0	-0.3	+1.9	-0.2	-6.6
Houck	+2.1	+0.4	-0.1	+0.7	-0.2	+1.7	+2.1

Rafael Devers is better vs right-handed pitching. Tanner Houck is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Devers has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Tanner Houck throws a Slider 40% of the time. Rafael Devers has an A grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Slider (R)

40%

Sinker (R)

28%

Splitter (R)

15%

4-Seam (R)

14%

10% of Tanner Houck's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Rafael Devers has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Strong Challenge 5%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Meatball 4%

-2%

53% of Tanner Houck's pitches are classified as Medium Drop, which is 41% higher than the MLB average. Rafael Devers has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Drop 53%

+41%

Large Break 17%

+12%

Breaking (R) 40%

+9%

Very Slow Velo 22%

+9%

17.2% of Rafael Devers's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.4% higher than the league average. Tanner Houck strikes out 14.2% of the batters he faces, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +4.4% -1.6% 4%

Walk +0.3% +0.2% 41%

In Play -4.7% +1.4% 39%

On Base -1.3% +0.4% 31%

Hit -1.6% +0.3% 14%

Single -1.6% +0.4% 13%

2B / 3B -1.2% +0.7% 3%

Home Run +1.2% -0.9%

34.5% of Rafael Devers's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.1% higher than the league average. Tanner Houck induces Standard Grounders at a 41.9% rate, which is 7.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.4% -0.7% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.1% +7.5% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.3% +2.4% 14%

Low Screamer -1.6% -5.6% 9%

Rising Liner +0.3% +2.9% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.3% -1.1% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% -1.1% 1%

No Doubter +0.6% -0.6% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.1% -2.8% 3%

Pop up -0.5% -0.9%

37.9% of Rafael Devers's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 13.6% higher than the league average. 30.6% of batted balls allowed by Tanner Houck are hit at above 100 mph, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -4.0% -0.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.4% -0.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.0% -4.3% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.2% -0.6% 24%

Above 100 mph +13.6% +6.3%

9.8% of Rafael Devers's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.7% lower than the league average. 10.1% of batted balls allowed by Tanner Houck are hit at this angle, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%