Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Rafael Devers

matchup for C. Sanchez

207th out of 436 (Best 48%)

Cristopher Sanchez

matchup for Rafael Devers

478th out of 567 (Worst 16%)

Moderate advantage for Sanchez

Rafael Devers has a 29.1% chance of reaching base vs Cristopher Sanchez, which is 4.3% lower than Devers's typical expectations, and 0.6% higher than batters facing Sanchez.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.1%	22.2%	2.2%	5.8%	14.2%	6.9%	32.2%
Devers	-4.3	+0.4	-0.8	+0.4	+0.8	-4.6	+3.8
Sanchez	+0.6	-0.1	0.0	+0.6	-0.7	+0.7	+6.4

Rafael Devers is worse vs left-handed pitching. Cristopher Sanchez is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Devers has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Cristopher Sanchez throws a Sinker 49% of the time. Rafael Devers has a C+ grade against left-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (L)

49%

Changeup (L)

32%

Slider (L)

18%

15% of Cristopher Sanchez's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Rafael Devers has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 15%

+6%

Chaser 9%

+4%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Mid Challenge 11%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Likely Ball 17%

-3%

Meatball 2%

-4%

76% of Cristopher Sanchez's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 61% higher than the MLB average. Rafael Devers has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Break 76%

+61%

Medium Drop 33%

+21%

Offspeed (L) 32%

+20%

Slow Velo 27%

+13%

17.2% of Rafael Devers's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.4% higher than the league average. Cristopher Sanchez strikes out 14.4% of the batters he faces, which is 2.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +4.4% -2.7% 4%

Walk +0.3% -2.4% 41%

In Play -4.7% +5.1% 39%

On Base -1.3% +1.4% 31%

Hit -1.6% +3.7% 14%

Single -1.6% +2.2% 13%

2B / 3B -1.2% +2.6% 3%

Home Run +1.2% -1.0%

34.5% of Rafael Devers's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.1% higher than the league average. Cristopher Sanchez induces Standard Grounders at a 53.9% rate, which is 19.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.4% +0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.1% +19.5% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.3% -4.9% 14%

Low Screamer -1.6% -1.1% 9%

Rising Liner +0.3% -1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.3% +0.9% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% -1.2% 1%

No Doubter +0.6% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.1% -8.8% 3%

Pop up -0.5% -2.7%

37.9% of Rafael Devers's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 13.6% higher than the league average. 21.0% of batted balls allowed by Cristopher Sanchez are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -4.0% +6.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.4% -1.6% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.0% +4.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.2% -5.1% 24%

Above 100 mph +13.6% -3.3%

9.8% of Rafael Devers's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.7% lower than the league average. 8.0% of batted balls allowed by Cristopher Sanchez are hit at this angle, which is 3.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +3.3% +15.6% 12%

-10 to 0° +0.9% +0.9% 8%

1 to 6° -0.1% -4.1% 18%

7 to 18° -2.0% +0.5% 15%

19 to 28° -0.1% -1.5% 11%

29 to 38° -1.7% -3.5% 7%

39 to 50° -0.6% -3.7% 8%

Above 50° +0.3% -4.1%

Rafael Devers has 2 plate appearances against Cristopher Sanchez in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 2 with a double and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	2	0	1	1	0	0	1.000
Expected From Contact →			1.80	0.00	0.37	1.43			0.900

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-06-12	Triple		32%	61%	7%
2024-06-12	Single		5%	82%	13%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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