Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Rafael Devers

matchup for Carson Fulmer

406th out of 436 (Worst 7%)

Carson Fulmer

matchup for Rafael Devers

95th out of 567 (Best 18%)

Extreme advantage for Devers

Rafael Devers has a 37.1% chance of reaching base vs Carson Fulmer, which is 3.7% higher than Devers's typical expectations, and 3.7% higher than batters facing Fulmer.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	37.1%	24.1%	3.2%	6.8%	14.0%	13.1%	24.0%
Devers	+3.7	+2.2	+0.2	+1.4	+0.6	+1.5	-4.4
Fulmer	+3.7	+0.3	+0.1	+1.3	-1.1	+3.4	+2.4

Rafael Devers is better vs right-handed pitching. Carson Fulmer is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Devers has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Carson Fulmer throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Rafael Devers has a C+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

37%

Changeup (R)

20%

Cutter (R)

15%

Sinker (R)

11%

Curve (R)

Slider (R)

8% of Carson Fulmer's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Rafael Devers has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 8%

+2%

Non-Competitive 14%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+0%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

-1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

Mid Challenge 9%

-2%

33% of Carson Fulmer's pitches are classified as Medium Fast Velocity, which is 18% higher than the MLB average. Rafael Devers has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Fast Velo 33%

+18%

Offspeed (R) 20%

+9%

Fastball (R) 62%

+8%

17.2% of Rafael Devers's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.4% higher than the league average. Carson Fulmer strikes out 13.9% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +4.4% -2.6% 4%

Walk +0.3% +2.5% 41%

In Play -4.7% +0.1% 39%

On Base -1.3% +3.9% 31%

Hit -1.6% +1.4% 14%

Single -1.6% +0.6% 13%

2B / 3B -1.2% +0.6% 3%

Home Run +1.2% +0.1%

34.5% of Rafael Devers's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.1% higher than the league average. Carson Fulmer induces Standard Grounders at a 34.3% rate, which is 0.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.4% -0.6% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.1% -0.1% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.3% +1.9% 14%

Low Screamer -1.6% -1.2% 9%

Rising Liner +0.3% -2.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.3% -0.6% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% +0.9% 1%

No Doubter +0.6% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.1% +3.9% 3%

Pop up -0.5% -2.4%

37.9% of Rafael Devers's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 13.6% higher than the league average. 24.9% of batted balls allowed by Carson Fulmer are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -4.0% -4.1% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.4% +1.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.0% -1.3% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.2% +3.7% 24%

Above 100 mph +13.6% +0.6%

9.8% of Rafael Devers's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.7% lower than the league average. 11.5% of batted balls allowed by Carson Fulmer are hit at this angle, which is 0.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%