Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Rafael Devers

matchup for Dylan Floro

413th out of 436 (Worst 6%)

Dylan Floro

matchup for Rafael Devers

42nd out of 567 (Best 8%)

Extreme advantage for Devers

Rafael Devers has a 37.5% chance of reaching base vs Dylan Floro, which is 4.1% higher than Devers's typical expectations, and 4.0% higher than batters facing Floro.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	37.5%	28.0%	3.5%	7.1%	17.5%	9.5%	18.6%
Devers	+4.1	+6.2	+0.5	+1.7	+4.0	-2.0	-9.8
Floro	+4.0	+1.6	+0.5	+1.8	-0.6	+2.4	+1.9

Rafael Devers is better vs right-handed pitching. Dylan Floro is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Devers has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

Dylan Floro throws a Sinker 41% of the time. Rafael Devers has an A+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

41%

Slider (R)

24%

4-Seam (R)

22%

Changeup (R)

14%

11% of Dylan Floro's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Rafael Devers has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 11%

+3%

Chaser 8%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

48% of Dylan Floro's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 34% higher than the MLB average. Rafael Devers has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Break 48%

+34%

Just Gravity 30%

+16%

Medium Fast Velo 29%

+14%

Fastball (R) 63%

+9%

17.2% of Rafael Devers's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.4% higher than the league average. Dylan Floro strikes out 13.9% of the batters he faces, which is 2.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +4.4% -2.5% 4%

Walk +0.3% -1.6% 41%

In Play -4.7% +4.0% 39%

On Base -1.3% +3.4% 31%

Hit -1.6% +5.0% 14%

Single -1.6% +3.0% 13%

2B / 3B -1.2% +3.3% 3%

Home Run +1.2% -1.3%

34.5% of Rafael Devers's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.1% higher than the league average. Dylan Floro induces Standard Grounders at a 39.3% rate, which is 4.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.4% +0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.1% +4.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.3% -0.5% 14%

Low Screamer -1.6% -3.6% 9%

Rising Liner +0.3% +0.3% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.3% -2.3% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% +0.3% 1%

No Doubter +0.6% -1.1% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.1% +2.1% 3%

Pop up -0.5% -0.2%

37.9% of Rafael Devers's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 13.6% higher than the league average. 20.5% of batted balls allowed by Dylan Floro are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -4.0% -2.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.4% +0.8% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.0% +4.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.2% +0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph +13.6% -3.8%

9.8% of Rafael Devers's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.7% lower than the league average. 10.2% of batted balls allowed by Dylan Floro are hit at this angle, which is 1.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +3.3% +1.1% 12%

-10 to 0° +0.9% +1.6% 8%

1 to 6° -0.1% +0.6% 18%

7 to 18° -2.0% +0.0% 15%

19 to 28° -0.1% +0.7% 11%

29 to 38° -1.7% -1.2% 7%

39 to 50° -0.6% -0.3% 8%

Above 50° +0.3% -2.4%

Rafael Devers has 2 plate appearances against Dylan Floro in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 2 with a double and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	2	0	1	1	0	0	1.000
Expected From Contact →			1.84	0.00	0.90	0.94			0.921

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-05-12	Double		76%	19%	5%
2023-06-28	Single		14%	75%	11%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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