Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Rafael Devers

matchup for Tyler Anderson

143rd out of 436 (Best 34%)

Tyler Anderson

matchup for Rafael Devers

321st out of 567 (Worst 44%)

Moderate advantage for Devers

Rafael Devers has a 34.0% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 0.6% higher than Devers's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Anderson.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.0%	19.9%	2.6%	5.2%	12.1%	14.2%	29.1%
Devers	+0.6	-2.0	-0.5	-0.2	-1.3	+2.6	+0.7
Anderson	+0.3	-2.4	-0.4	-0.1	-2.0	+2.7	+7.5

Rafael Devers is worse vs left-handed pitching. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Devers has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Rafael Devers has an F grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

38%

Changeup (L)

32%

Cutter (L)

22%

Sinker (L)

7% of Tyler Anderson's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Rafael Devers has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 7%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Likely Ball 19%

-1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 7%

-2%

32% of Tyler Anderson's pitches are classified as Offspeed Pitches, which is 19% higher than the MLB average. Rafael Devers hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Offspeed (L) 32%

+19%

Low Ride 40%

+17%

Fastball (L) 67%

+12%

Extreme Slow Velo 20%

+11%

Large Break 31%

+9%

17.2% of Rafael Devers's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.4% higher than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +4.4% -1.9% 4%

Walk +0.3% -1.0% 41%

In Play -4.7% +2.9% 39%

On Base -1.3% -0.1% 31%

Hit -1.6% +0.9% 14%

Single -1.6% +0.5% 13%

2B / 3B -1.2% +0.6% 3%

Home Run +1.2% -0.2%

34.5% of Rafael Devers's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.1% higher than the league average. Tyler Anderson induces Standard Grounders at a 30.6% rate, which is 3.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.4% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.1% -3.8% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.3% -1.8% 14%

Low Screamer -1.6% +1.6% 9%

Rising Liner +0.3% +1.2% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.3% -0.2% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% +0.2% 1%

No Doubter +0.6% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.1% +1.5% 3%

Pop up -0.5% +1.9%

37.9% of Rafael Devers's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 13.6% higher than the league average. 23.0% of batted balls allowed by Tyler Anderson are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -4.0% +2.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.4% +0.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.0% +1.1% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.2% -2.6% 24%

Above 100 mph +13.6% -1.3%

9.8% of Rafael Devers's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.7% lower than the league average. 11.7% of batted balls allowed by Tyler Anderson are hit at this angle, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +3.3% -3.6% 12%

-10 to 0° +0.9% -1.6% 8%

1 to 6° -0.1% +0.2% 18%

7 to 18° -2.0% +1.2% 15%

19 to 28° -0.1% +0.1% 11%

29 to 38° -1.7% +0.3% 7%

39 to 50° -0.6% +0.6% 8%

Above 50° +0.3% +2.8%

Rafael Devers has 5 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 5 with a home run and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	5	5	2	1	0	1	0	0	0.400
Expected From Contact →			2.09	0.16	0.14	1.79			0.417

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-05-24	Lineout		2%	75%	24%
2023-05-24	Flyout	2%	5%		93%
2023-05-24	Single		2%	84%	13%
2023-04-15	Home Run	14%	5%		81%
2023-04-15	GIDP			20%	80%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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