Matchup Machine

Victor Robles

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matchup for Garrett Crochet

373rd out of 436 (Worst 15%)

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Garrett Crochet

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matchup for Victor Robles

444th out of 567 (Worst 22%)

Leans in favor of Crochet
2

Model Prediction

Victor Robles has a 29.8% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Crochet, which is 1.4% lower than Robles's typical expectations, and 2.3% higher than batters facing Crochet.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.8%25.2%2.0%6.1%17.1%4.6%27.8%
Robles-1.4+0.80.0+0.7+0.1-2.2+8.3
Crochet+2.3+4.3-0.4+1.0+3.6-1.9-7.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Victor Robles is better vs left-handed pitching. Garrett Crochet is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Robles has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Garrett Crochet throws a 4-seam fastball 58% of the time. Victor Robles has an A grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
58%
   Cutter (L)
18%
   Slider (L)
16%
   Changeup (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

11.7% of Victor Robles's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.8% lower than the league average. Garrett Crochet strikes out 21.3% of the batters he faces, which is 9.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -4.8% +9.4% 5%         Walk -1.1% -1.3% 37%         In Play +5.9% -8.1% 39%         On Base +2.8% -3.9% 31%         Hit +3.8% -2.5% 14%         Single +2.2% -1.4% 13%         2B / 3B +2.7% -1.1% 3%         Home Run -1.0% +0.1%

History

Victor Robles has 7 plate appearances against Garrett Crochet in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 7 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual772011200.286
Expected From Contact →2.501.050.550.900.357
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-28Single26%74%
2024-07-28Flyout100%
2024-06-13Strikeout
2024-06-13Double74%22%2%3%
2024-06-13Lineout31%29%5%35%
2024-05-15Strikeout
2024-05-15Lineout4%57%39%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.