Matchup Machine

Victor Robles

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matchup for Adrian Morejon

254th out of 436 (Worst 42%)

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Adrian Morejon

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matchup for Victor Robles

414th out of 567 (Worst 27%)

Leans in favor of Morejon
1

Model Prediction

Victor Robles has a 29.9% chance of reaching base vs Adrian Morejon, which is 1.3% lower than Robles's typical expectations, and 0.6% lower than batters facing Morejon.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.9%23.2%2.0%4.9%16.4%6.7%20.1%
Robles-1.3-1.2-0.1-0.5-0.6-0.1+0.5
Morejon-0.6+1.1-0.5+0.5+1.1-1.8-4.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Victor Robles is better vs left-handed pitching. Adrian Morejon is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Robles has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Adrian Morejon throws a 4-seam fastball 43% of the time. Victor Robles has an A grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
43%
   Slider (L)
21%
   Sinker (L)
18%
   Curve (L)
9%
   Changeup (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

11.7% of Victor Robles's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.8% lower than the league average. Adrian Morejon strikes out 17.5% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -4.8% +1.9% 5%         Walk -1.1% -0.8% 37%         In Play +5.9% -1.2% 39%         On Base +2.8% -0.4% 31%         Hit +3.8% +0.4% 14%         Single +2.2% +0.1% 13%         2B / 3B +2.7% +0.4% 3%         Home Run -1.0% -0.1%

History

Victor Robles has 1 plate appearance against Adrian Morejon in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2022-08-20Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.