Matchup Machine

Victor Robles

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matchup for Logan Webb

211st out of 436 (Best 49%)

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Logan Webb

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matchup for Victor Robles

328th out of 567 (Worst 42%)

Leans in favor of Robles
2

Model Prediction

Victor Robles has a 30.9% chance of reaching base vs Logan Webb, which is 0.3% higher than Robles's typical expectations, and 1.3% lower than batters facing Webb.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.9%25.6%1.8%5.5%18.3%5.3%18.8%
Robles-0.3+1.2-0.3+0.1+1.4-1.5-0.7
Webb-1.3+0.9-0.6+0.3+1.2-2.2-3.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Victor Robles is worse vs right-handed pitching. Logan Webb is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Robles has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Logan Webb throws a Sinker 36% of the time. Victor Robles has a B+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
36%
   Changeup (R)
34%
   Slider (R)
25%

Contact and Outcomes

11.7% of Victor Robles's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.8% lower than the league average. Logan Webb strikes out 15.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -4.8% -0.8% 5%         Walk -1.1% -2.4% 37%         In Play +5.9% +3.2% 39%         On Base +2.8% +1.6% 31%         Hit +3.8% +4.0% 14%         Single +2.2% +2.5% 13%         2B / 3B +2.7% +2.8% 3%         Home Run -1.0% -1.3%

History

Victor Robles has 3 plate appearances against Logan Webb in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 2 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual322002011.000
Expected From Contact →0.980.000.220.760.489
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2022-04-30Single1%72%27%
2022-04-30Single20%5%75%
2022-04-30Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.