Matchup Machine

Victor Robles

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matchup for Chris Bassitt

286th out of 436 (Worst 35%)

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Chris Bassitt

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matchup for Victor Robles

94th out of 567 (Best 17%)

Strong advantage for Robles
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Model Prediction

Victor Robles has a 35.8% chance of reaching base vs Chris Bassitt, which is 4.6% higher than Robles's typical expectations, and 0.6% higher than batters facing Bassitt.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.8%27.6%1.8%5.2%20.6%8.1%19.0%
Robles+4.6+3.2-0.3-0.2+3.7+1.4-0.5
Bassitt+0.6+3.4-0.5+0.1+3.8-2.8-4.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Victor Robles is worse vs right-handed pitching. Chris Bassitt is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Robles has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Chris Bassitt throws a Sinker 38% of the time. Victor Robles has a B+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
38%
   Cutter (R)
17%
   Slider (R)
14%
   Curve (R)
13%
   4-Seam (R)
10%
   Changeup (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

11.7% of Victor Robles's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.8% lower than the league average. Chris Bassitt strikes out 15.3% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -4.8% -0.4% 5%         Walk -1.1% +0.1% 37%         In Play +5.9% +0.3% 39%         On Base +2.8% +1.5% 31%         Hit +3.8% +1.4% 14%         Single +2.2% +0.8% 13%         2B / 3B +2.7% +1.0% 3%         Home Run -1.0% -0.4%

History

Victor Robles has 5 plate appearances against Chris Bassitt in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 5 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual550000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.780.000.040.740.156
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2022-08-03Groundout5%95%
2022-08-03Lineout15%85%
2022-08-03Field Error
2022-04-09Strikeout
2022-04-09Lineout4%54%42%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.