Matchup Machine

Victor Robles

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matchup for Austin Gomber

173rd out of 436 (Best 40%)

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Austin Gomber

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matchup for Victor Robles

140th out of 567 (Best 26%)

Strong advantage for Robles
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Model Prediction

Victor Robles has a 31.4% chance of reaching base vs Austin Gomber, which is 0.2% higher than Robles's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Gomber.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.4%27.5%1.9%6.9%18.7%3.9%13.3%
Robles+0.2+3.1-0.2+1.5+1.7-2.9-6.3
Gomber-0.4+1.6-1.4+0.3+2.8-2.0-4.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Victor Robles is better vs left-handed pitching. Austin Gomber is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Robles has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Austin Gomber throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Victor Robles has an A grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
42%
   Slider (L)
21%
   Kn-Curve (L)
18%
   Changeup (L)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

11.7% of Victor Robles's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.8% lower than the league average. Austin Gomber strikes out 13.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -4.8% -3.3% 5%         Walk -1.1% -2.5% 37%         In Play +5.9% +5.9% 39%         On Base +2.8% +0.6% 31%         Hit +3.8% +3.1% 14%         Single +2.2% +1.2% 13%         2B / 3B +2.7% +1.6% 3%         Home Run -1.0% +0.3%

History

Victor Robles has 5 plate appearances against Austin Gomber in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 5 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual552011100.400
Expected From Contact →0.990.000.030.950.197
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-04-08Flyout2%98%
2023-04-08Double1%5%94%
2022-05-28Single90%10%
2022-05-04Strikeout
2022-05-04Sac Bunt

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.