Matchup Machine

Victor Robles

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matchup for Caleb Thielbar

262nd out of 436 (Worst 40%)

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Caleb Thielbar

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matchup for Victor Robles

267th out of 567 (Best 48%)

Moderate advantage for Robles
3

Model Prediction

Victor Robles has a 31.3% chance of reaching base vs Caleb Thielbar, which is 0.1% higher than Robles's typical expectations, and 0.5% lower than batters facing Thielbar.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.3%23.8%2.7%6.2%14.9%7.5%23.7%
Robles+0.1-0.6+0.6+0.8-2.0+0.8+4.2
Thielbar-0.5+2.0-0.6+1.2+1.5-2.6-4.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Victor Robles is better vs left-handed pitching. Caleb Thielbar is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Robles has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Caleb Thielbar throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Victor Robles has an A grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
49%
   Slider (L)
29%
   Curve (L)
22%

Contact and Outcomes

11.7% of Victor Robles's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.8% lower than the league average. Caleb Thielbar strikes out 18.8% of the batters he faces, which is 5.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -4.8% +5.2% 5%         Walk -1.1% +1.9% 37%         In Play +5.9% -7.1% 39%         On Base +2.8% -6.1% 31%         Hit +3.8% -8.0% 14%         Single +2.2% -4.3% 13%         2B / 3B +2.7% -3.9% 3%         Home Run -1.0% +0.2%

History

No History in the last 3 years