Matchup Machine

      Victor Robles

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      matchup for Joe Mantiply

      278th out of 436 (Worst 36%)

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      Joe Mantiply

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      matchup for Victor Robles

      461st out of 564 (Worst 18%)

      Leans in favor of Mantiply
      2

      Model Prediction

      Victor Robles has a 28.1% chance of reaching base vs Joe Mantiply, which is 3.4% lower than Robles's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Mantiply.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Victor Robles is better vs left-handed pitching. Joe Mantiply is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Robles has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Joe Mantiply throws a Sinker 42% of the time. Victor Robles has a D grade against left-handed Sinkers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
      42%
         Curve (L)
      29%
         Changeup (L)
      24%

      Contact and Outcomes

      11.8% of Victor Robles's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.7% lower than the league average. Joe Mantiply strikes out 16.1% of the batters he faces, which is 1.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -4.7% +1.2% 5%         Walk -1.4% -3.0% 37%         In Play +6.1% +1.9% 39%         On Base +2.2% -2.9% 31%         Hit +3.6% +0.1% 14%         Single +2.1% +0.1% 13%         2B / 3B +2.6% +0.1% 3%         Home Run -1.1% -0.1%

      History

      Victor Robles has 1 plate appearance against Joe Mantiply in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual110000000.000
      Expected From Contact →0.870.000.640.230.874
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2022-07-24Lineout64%23%13%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.