Matchup Machine

Victor Robles

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matchup for Dylan Floro

257th out of 436 (Worst 41%)

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Dylan Floro

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matchup for Victor Robles

73rd out of 567 (Best 14%)

Strong advantage for Robles
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Model Prediction

Victor Robles has a 33.9% chance of reaching base vs Dylan Floro, which is 2.7% higher than Robles's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Floro.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.9%29.3%2.2%5.6%21.4%4.7%13.6%
Robles+2.7+4.8+0.2+0.2+4.5-2.1-5.9
Floro+0.4+2.9-0.8+0.3+3.3-2.5-3.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Victor Robles is worse vs right-handed pitching. Dylan Floro is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Robles has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Dylan Floro throws a Sinker 41% of the time. Victor Robles has a B+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
41%
   Slider (R)
24%
   4-Seam (R)
22%
   Changeup (R)
14%

Contact and Outcomes

11.7% of Victor Robles's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.8% lower than the league average. Dylan Floro strikes out 13.9% of the batters he faces, which is 2.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -4.8% -2.5% 5%         Walk -1.1% -1.6% 37%         In Play +5.9% +4.0% 39%         On Base +2.8% +3.4% 31%         Hit +3.8% +5.0% 14%         Single +2.2% +3.0% 13%         2B / 3B +2.7% +3.3% 3%         Home Run -1.0% -1.3%

History

Victor Robles has 2 plate appearances against Dylan Floro in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual222002001.000
Expected From Contact →1.240.000.201.030.619
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-06-17Single4%44%53%
2022-09-23Single17%60%23%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.