Matchup Machine

Victor Robles

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matchup for Jordan Lyles

306th out of 436 (Worst 30%)

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Jordan Lyles

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matchup for Victor Robles

out of 567 (Worst %)

Extreme advantage for Robles
9

Model Prediction

Victor Robles has a 34.5% chance of reaching base vs Jordan Lyles, which is 3.3% higher than Robles's typical expectations, and 0.8% higher than batters facing Lyles.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.5%27.6%2.3%7.0%18.3%6.8%13.7%
Robles+3.3+3.2+0.3+1.6+1.4+0.1-5.9
Lyles+0.8+3.4-1.0+1.1+3.3-2.6-4.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Victor Robles is worse vs right-handed pitching. Jordan Lyles is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Robles has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jordan Lyles throws a 4-seam fastball 35% of the time. Victor Robles has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
35%
   Slider (R)
23%
   Curve (R)
17%
   Sinker (R)
12%
   Changeup (R)
10%

Contact and Outcomes

11.7% of Victor Robles's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.8% lower than the league average. Jordan Lyles strikes out 15.7% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -4.8% +0.8% 5%         Walk -1.1% -2.3% 37%         In Play +5.9% +1.5% 39%         On Base +2.8% -4.1% 31%         Hit +3.8% -1.7% 14%         Single +2.2% -1.0% 13%         2B / 3B +2.7% -0.7% 3%         Home Run -1.0% -0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years