Matchup Machine

Ozzie Albies

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matchup for Jared Jones

210th out of 436 (Best 49%)

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Jared Jones

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matchup for Ozzie Albies

477th out of 567 (Worst 16%)

Leans in favor of Jones
2

Model Prediction

Ozzie Albies has a 28.7% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 1.9% lower than Albies's typical expectations, and 2.3% lower than batters facing Jones.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.7%20.4%3.0%4.6%12.8%8.3%23.3%
Albies-1.9-2.4+0.0-1.1-1.4+0.5+4.4
Jones-2.3-0.4+0.1-0.40.0-2.0-5.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Ozzie Albies is worse vs right-handed pitching. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Albies has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Ozzie Albies has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
35%
   Curve (R)
9%
   Changeup (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

9.4% of Ozzie Albies's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.7% lower than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -8.7% +0.4% 5%         Walk -1.5% +0.6% 35%         In Play +10.2% -1.1% 39%         On Base -1.3% -0.1% 31%         Hit +0.3% -0.8% 14%         Single -0.5% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B -0.1% -0.5% 3%         Home Run +0.8% +0.9%

History

No History in the last 3 years