Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Ozzie Albies

matchup for JP Sears

375th out of 436 (Worst 14%)

JP Sears

matchup for Ozzie Albies

92nd out of 567 (Best 17%)

Strong advantage for Albies

Ozzie Albies has a 30.5% chance of reaching base vs JP Sears, which is 0.1% higher than Albies's typical expectations, and 0.8% higher than batters facing Sears.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.5%	24.6%	3.5%	7.7%	13.4%	6.0%	12.3%
Albies	-0.1	+1.7	+0.5	+2.0	-0.8	-1.8	-6.6
Sears	+0.8	+2.0	0.0	+1.7	+0.3	-1.2	-6.1

Ozzie Albies is better vs left-handed pitching. JP Sears is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Albies has an A grade vs this particular release point.

JP Sears throws a 4-seam fastball 43% of the time. Ozzie Albies has an A+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

43%

Slider (L)

33%

Changeup (L)

17%

Sinker (L)

14% of JP Sears's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Ozzie Albies has a C+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+2%

Meatball 7%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Likely Ball 19%

-1%

Non-Competitive 10%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

40% of JP Sears's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 18% higher than the MLB average. Ozzie Albies has an A- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 40%

+18%

Medium Fast Velo 28%

+13%

Small Drop 23%

+10%

9.4% of Ozzie Albies's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.7% lower than the league average. JP Sears strikes out 14.1% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

18%

Strikeout -8.7% -2.6% 5%

Walk -1.5% -1.1% 35%

In Play +10.2% +3.7% 39%

On Base -1.3% -2.6% 31%

Hit +0.3% -1.5% 14%

Single -0.5% -1.6% 13%

2B / 3B -0.1% -1.1% 3%

Home Run +0.8% +1.2%

30.7% of Ozzie Albies's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.7% lower than the league average. JP Sears induces Standard Grounders at a 25.3% rate, which is 9.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.5% -0.4% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.7% -9.1% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.6% +0.8% 14%

Low Screamer +0.6% -1.1% 9%

Rising Liner -0.2% -0.3% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.1% +3.0% 3%

Likely Homer +0.2% -0.7% 1%

No Doubter +0.0% +2.0% 20%

Routine Flyout +4.3% +2.1% 3%

Pop up +0.6% +3.7%

17.1% of Ozzie Albies's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 7.2% lower than the league average. 26.9% of batted balls allowed by JP Sears are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.9% +2.1% 21%

75 to 86 mph +0.7% -7.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph +5.6% +2.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.8% -0.1% 24%

Above 100 mph -7.2% +2.6%

15.7% of Ozzie Albies's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 4.2% higher than the league average. 15.8% of batted balls allowed by JP Sears are hit at this angle, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.8% -4.2% 12%

-10 to 0° -1.7% -1.6% 8%

1 to 6° -0.7% -1.3% 18%

7 to 18° -1.7% -3.0% 15%

19 to 28° +0.8% +0.5% 11%

29 to 38° +4.2% +4.3% 7%

39 to 50° -0.3% +0.4% 8%

Above 50° +3.2% +5.0%

Ozzie Albies has 6 plate appearances against JP Sears in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 5 with a walk

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	6	5	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.16	0.00	0.03	0.12			0.032

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-05-31	Pop Out			7%	93%
2024-05-31	Walk
2024-05-31	Flyout				100%
2024-05-31	Flyout				100%
2023-05-30	Flyout				100%
2023-05-30	Groundout		2%	5%	93%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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