Matchup Machine

Ozzie Albies

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matchup for M. Rodriguez

264th out of 436 (Worst 40%)

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Manuel Rodriguez

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matchup for Ozzie Albies

447th out of 567 (Worst 21%)

Leans in favor of Rodriguez
1

Model Prediction

Ozzie Albies has a 30.7% chance of reaching base vs Manuel Rodriguez, which is 0.0% higher than Albies's typical expectations, and 0.6% lower than batters facing Rodriguez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.7%21.0%2.0%4.8%14.2%9.7%21.4%
Albies+0.0-1.8-1.0-0.9+0.0+1.9+2.6
Rodriguez-0.6-0.4+0.1+0.2-0.6-0.3-2.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Ozzie Albies is worse vs right-handed pitching. Manuel Rodriguez is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Albies has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Manuel Rodriguez throws a Slider 39% of the time. Ozzie Albies has a D+ grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
39%
   Sinker (R)
38%
   4-Seam (R)
23%

Contact and Outcomes

9.4% of Ozzie Albies's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.7% lower than the league average. Manuel Rodriguez strikes out 16.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -8.7% -0.9% 5%         Walk -1.5% -0.7% 35%         In Play +10.2% +1.6% 39%         On Base -1.3% -3.4% 31%         Hit +0.3% -2.7% 14%         Single -0.5% -1.2% 13%         2B / 3B -0.1% -0.7% 3%         Home Run +0.8% -0.8%

History

No History in the last 3 years