Matchup Machine

Ozzie Albies

Worst 6% of matchups for C. Sanchez

Cristopher Sanchez

Best 40% of matchups for Ozzie Albies

Strong advantage for Albies

Model Prediction
Prediction	4.6%	5.2%	13.7%	6.1%	19.5%
MLB (+/-)	+1.8	+0.9	-0.2	-3.6	-5.8
Albies	+0.5	+0.5	+1.2	-2.8	-2.7
Sanchez	+1.5	+0.5	-1.0	-0.7	-5.2

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

4.6%

5.2%

13.7%

6.1%

19.5%

MLB (+/-)

+1.8

+0.9

-0.2

-3.6

-5.8

Albies

+0.5

+1.2

-2.8

-2.7

Sanchez

+1.5

+0.5

-1.0

-0.7

-5.2

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	7	6	3	0	1	2	0	1	.500
Expected From Contact →			2.30	0.00	0.87	1.43			.384

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-09-19	Groundout			4%	96%
2023-09-19	Single			76%	23%
2023-09-13	Single		5%	19%	75%
2023-09-13	Double		41%	29%	30%
2023-09-13	Walk
2023-09-13	Groundout		37%	6%	57%
2021-07-24	Groundout		3%	9%	88%

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
⭐	65%	71	RHB vs LHP	29	80%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

⭐

65%

RHB vs LHP

80%

	Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
⭐	58%	73	Fastball	20	46%
	21%	34	Offspeed	96	32%	⭐⭐
	28%	36	Breaking	30	22%
			------------------
	61%	27	Sinker	37	46%
	60%	39	Changeup	89	32%	⭐
	59%	37	Slider	29	22%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

⭐

58%

Fastball

46%

21%

Offspeed

32%

⭐⭐

28%

Breaking

22%

------------------

61%

Sinker

46%

60%

Changeup

32%

⭐

59%

Slider

22%

Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
86%	46	Bottom of zone	5	18%
92%	40	In / Glove Side	80	12%
65%	30	Away / Arm Side	-12	10%
74%	42	Top of zone	30	7%
77%	50	Middle	41	5%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

86%

Bottom of zone

18%

92%

In / Glove Side

12%

65%

Away / Arm Side

-12

10%

74%

Top of zone

77%

Middle

Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
62%	35	Below the zone	56	47%
58%	16	In / Glove Side	58	26%
43%	56	Away / Arm Side	43	23%
29%	48	Above the zone	27	9%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

62%

Below the zone

47%

58%

In / Glove Side

26%

43%

Away / Arm Side

23%

29%

Above the zone

Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
62%	58	Batter Behind	28	31%
71%	62	2 Strikes	40	28%
37%	31	First Pitch	30	27%
66%	50	Batter Ahead	35	23%
79%	-2	3 Balls	51	6%
82%	15	Full Count	40	4%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

62%

Batter Behind

31%

71%

2 Strikes

28%

37%

First Pitch

27%

66%

Batter Ahead

23%

79%

-2

3 Balls

82%

Full Count