Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Ozzie Albies

matchup for Pablo Lopez

276th out of 436 (Worst 37%)

Pablo Lopez

matchup for Ozzie Albies

437th out of 567 (Worst 23%)

Leans in favor of Albies

Ozzie Albies has a 29.1% chance of reaching base vs Pablo Lopez, which is 1.5% lower than Albies's typical expectations, and 1.5% lower than batters facing Lopez.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.1%	23.3%	2.8%	5.0%	15.4%	5.8%	21.1%
Albies	-1.5	+0.4	-0.2	-0.6	+1.3	-2.0	+2.2
Lopez	-1.5	-0.4	+0.3	+0.5	-1.2	-1.0	-4.5

Ozzie Albies is worse vs right-handed pitching. Pablo Lopez is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Albies has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

Pablo Lopez throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Ozzie Albies has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

37%

Changeup (R)

25%

Slider (R)

13%

Curve (R)

10%

Sinker (R)

8% of Pablo Lopez's pitches are classified as Chasers, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Ozzie Albies has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Chaser 8%

+2%

Mid Challenge 13%

+1%

Weak Challenge 9%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

Meatball 4%

-2%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

25% of Pablo Lopez's pitches are classified as Offspeed Pitches, which is 14% higher than the MLB average. Ozzie Albies has a B- grade against this type of pitch from right handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Offspeed (R) 25%

+14%

Extreme Break 26%

+11%

Fast Velo 26%

+11%

9.4% of Ozzie Albies's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.7% lower than the league average. Pablo Lopez strikes out 18.6% of the batters he faces, which is 4.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

18%

Strikeout -8.7% +4.2% 5%

Walk -1.5% -2.5% 35%

In Play +10.2% -1.7% 39%

On Base -1.3% -1.8% 31%

Hit +0.3% +0.7% 14%

Single -0.5% +0.3% 13%

2B / 3B -0.1% +0.8% 3%

Home Run +0.8% -0.4%

30.7% of Ozzie Albies's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.7% lower than the league average. Pablo Lopez induces Standard Grounders at a 38.8% rate, which is 4.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.5% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.7% +4.4% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.6% -1.4% 14%

Low Screamer +0.6% +1.3% 9%

Rising Liner -0.2% -0.9% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.1% -0.5% 3%

Likely Homer +0.2% -0.2% 1%

No Doubter +0.0% -0.6% 20%

Routine Flyout +4.3% -1.7% 3%

Pop up +0.6% -0.2%

17.1% of Ozzie Albies's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 7.2% lower than the league average. 23.0% of batted balls allowed by Pablo Lopez are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.9% +0.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph +0.7% +4.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph +5.6% -0.9% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.8% -2.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -7.2% -1.3%

15.7% of Ozzie Albies's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 4.2% higher than the league average. 10.3% of batted balls allowed by Pablo Lopez are hit at this angle, which is 1.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%