Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Ozzie Albies

matchup for Michael Wacha

194th out of 436 (Best 45%)

Michael Wacha

matchup for Ozzie Albies

386th out of 567 (Worst 32%)

Leans in favor of Albies

Ozzie Albies has a 29.0% chance of reaching base vs Michael Wacha, which is 1.6% lower than Albies's typical expectations, and 2.1% lower than batters facing Wacha.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.0%	22.8%	2.7%	5.0%	15.1%	6.2%	16.3%
Albies	-1.6	0.0	-0.3	-0.7	+0.9	-1.6	-2.6
Wacha	-2.1	-0.3	+0.0	-0.1	-0.2	-1.9	-5.1

Ozzie Albies is worse vs right-handed pitching. Michael Wacha is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Albies has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

Michael Wacha throws a Changeup 32% of the time. Ozzie Albies has a B grade against right-handed Changeups

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Changeup (R)

32%

4-Seam (R)

31%

Cutter (R)

17%

Sinker (R)

11%

Curve (R)

8% of Michael Wacha's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Ozzie Albies has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 8%

+2%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

Strong Challenge 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

32% of Michael Wacha's pitches are classified as Offspeed Pitches, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Ozzie Albies has a B- grade against this type of pitch from right handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Offspeed (R) 32%

+20%

Medium Break 30%

+11%

High Ride 19%

+9%

9.4% of Ozzie Albies's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.7% lower than the league average. Michael Wacha strikes out 16.3% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

18%

Strikeout -8.7% +0.4% 5%

Walk -1.5% -2.0% 35%

In Play +10.2% +1.5% 39%

On Base -1.3% -3.0% 31%

Hit +0.3% -1.0% 14%

Single -0.5% -0.6% 13%

2B / 3B -0.1% -0.5% 3%

Home Run +0.8% +0.1%

30.7% of Ozzie Albies's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.7% lower than the league average. Michael Wacha induces Standard Grounders at a 33.6% rate, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.5% -0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.7% -0.8% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.6% +0.5% 14%

Low Screamer +0.6% +1.5% 9%

Rising Liner -0.2% +0.7% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.1% -0.3% 3%

Likely Homer +0.2% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter +0.0% 0.0% 20%

Routine Flyout +4.3% -1.8% 3%

Pop up +0.6% +0.6%

17.1% of Ozzie Albies's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 7.2% lower than the league average. 26.9% of batted balls allowed by Michael Wacha are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.9% +0.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph +0.7% +0.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph +5.6% -0.3% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.8% -2.7% 24%

Above 100 mph -7.2% +2.6%

15.7% of Ozzie Albies's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 4.2% higher than the league average. 10.7% of batted balls allowed by Michael Wacha are hit at this angle, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.8% -2.9% 12%

-10 to 0° -1.7% +1.7% 8%

1 to 6° -0.7% -0.8% 18%

7 to 18° -1.7% +2.8% 15%

19 to 28° +0.8% +0.9% 11%

29 to 38° +4.2% -0.7% 7%

39 to 50° -0.3% -1.6% 8%

Above 50° +3.2% +0.6%

Ozzie Albies has 2 plate appearances against Michael Wacha in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.14	0.00	0.00	0.14			0.072

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-04-08	Flyout				100%
2023-04-08	Groundout			14%	86%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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