Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Ozzie Albies

matchup for Blake Treinen

279th out of 436 (Worst 36%)

Blake Treinen

matchup for Ozzie Albies

550th out of 567 (Worst 3%)

Strong advantage for Treinen

Ozzie Albies has a 25.8% chance of reaching base vs Blake Treinen, which is 4.8% lower than Albies's typical expectations, and 1.3% lower than batters facing Treinen.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	25.8%	18.5%	2.7%	3.6%	12.3%	7.3%	25.3%
Albies	-4.8	-4.3	-0.3	-2.1	-1.9	-0.5	+6.4
Treinen	-1.3	+0.4	+0.1	+0.3	+0.1	-1.6	-6.7

Ozzie Albies is worse vs right-handed pitching. Blake Treinen is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Albies has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

Blake Treinen throws a Sinker 43% of the time. Ozzie Albies has a C+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

43%

Slider (R)

27%

Cutter (R)

15%

4-Seam (R)

14%

11% of Blake Treinen's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Ozzie Albies has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 11%

+3%

Chaser 8%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

Meatball 2%

-4%

41% of Blake Treinen's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 26% higher than the MLB average. Ozzie Albies has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Break 41%

+26%

Very Fast Velo 31%

+23%

Fastball (R) 71%

+18%

Just Gravity 28%

+15%

9.4% of Ozzie Albies's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.7% lower than the league average. Blake Treinen strikes out 21.8% of the batters he faces, which is 7.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

18%

Strikeout -8.7% +7.1% 5%

Walk -1.5% -0.5% 35%

In Play +10.2% -6.6% 39%

On Base -1.3% -4.3% 31%

Hit +0.3% -3.8% 14%

Single -0.5% -1.1% 13%

2B / 3B -0.1% -1.4% 3%

Home Run +0.8% -1.3%

30.7% of Ozzie Albies's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.7% lower than the league average. Blake Treinen induces Standard Grounders at a 42.1% rate, which is 7.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.5% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.7% +7.7% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.6% -1.1% 14%

Low Screamer +0.6% +0.2% 9%

Rising Liner -0.2% -2.4% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.1% -2.5% 3%

Likely Homer +0.2% -1.2% 1%

No Doubter +0.0% +0.4% 20%

Routine Flyout +4.3% -3.0% 3%

Pop up +0.6% +2.0%

17.1% of Ozzie Albies's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 7.2% lower than the league average. 21.5% of batted balls allowed by Blake Treinen are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.9% +7.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph +0.7% +0.7% 18%

87 to 93 mph +5.6% -2.1% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.8% -3.7% 24%

Above 100 mph -7.2% -2.8%

15.7% of Ozzie Albies's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 4.2% higher than the league average. 12.2% of batted balls allowed by Blake Treinen are hit at this angle, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.8% +4.9% 12%

-10 to 0° -1.7% +1.0% 8%

1 to 6° -0.7% +0.8% 18%

7 to 18° -1.7% -2.7% 15%

19 to 28° +0.8% -5.8% 11%

29 to 38° +4.2% +0.8% 7%

39 to 50° -0.3% +0.8% 8%

Above 50° +3.2% +0.2%

Ozzie Albies has 1 plate appearance against Blake Treinen in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00			0.008

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-05-05	Flyout				99%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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