Matchup Machine

      Mike Tauchman

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      matchup for Joe Ryan

      306th out of 436 (Worst 30%)

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      Joe Ryan

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      matchup for Mike Tauchman

      494th out of 564 (Worst 13%)

      Moderate advantage for Ryan
      4

      Model Prediction

      Mike Tauchman has a 30.7% chance of reaching base vs Joe Ryan, which is 3.3% lower than Tauchman's typical expectations, and 3.8% higher than batters facing Ryan.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Mike Tauchman is worse vs right-handed pitching. Joe Ryan is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Tauchman has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Joe Ryan throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Mike Tauchman has an F grade against right-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
      56%
         Slider (R)
      19%
         Splitter (R)
      16%

      Contact and Outcomes

      12.5% of Mike Tauchman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.6% lower than the league average. Joe Ryan strikes out 16.9% of the batters he faces, which is 4.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -3.6% +4.7% 2%         Walk +6.0% -3.3% 41%         In Play -2.4% -1.4% 39%         On Base +3.9% -8.1% 31%         Hit -2.0% -4.7% 14%         Single -0.7% -3.0% 13%         2B / 3B -0.3% -2.7% 3%         Home Run -1.1% +0.9%

      History

      Mike Tauchman has 1 plate appearance against Joe Ryan in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual110000000.000
      Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.003
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2024-08-07Pop Out100%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.