Matchup Machine

Mike Tauchman

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matchup for Tanner Houck

135th out of 436 (Best 32%)

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Tanner Houck

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matchup for Mike Tauchman

458th out of 567 (Worst 19%)

Leans in favor of Houck
2

Model Prediction

Mike Tauchman has a 31.2% chance of reaching base vs Tanner Houck, which is 2.8% lower than Tauchman's typical expectations, and 0.6% lower than batters facing Houck.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.2%17.6%1.7%3.3%12.6%13.6%20.1%
Tauchman-2.8-1.8-0.5-1.0-0.3-1.0-4.3
Houck-0.6-4.5-0.4-1.1-3.0+3.9+0.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Mike Tauchman is worse vs right-handed pitching. Tanner Houck is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Tauchman has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tanner Houck throws a Slider 40% of the time. Mike Tauchman has a C+ grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
40%
   Sinker (R)
28%
   Splitter (R)
15%
   4-Seam (R)
14%

Contact and Outcomes

12.5% of Mike Tauchman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.6% lower than the league average. Tanner Houck strikes out 14.2% of the batters he faces, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -3.6% -1.6% 2%         Walk +6.0% +0.2% 41%         In Play -2.4% +1.4% 39%         On Base +3.9% +0.4% 31%         Hit -2.0% +0.3% 14%         Single -0.7% +0.4% 13%         2B / 3B -0.3% +0.7% 3%         Home Run -1.1% -0.9%

History

Mike Tauchman has 3 plate appearances against Tanner Houck in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual331001100.333
Expected From Contact →0.960.000.020.940.320
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-28Single1%94%5%
2024-04-28Flyout99%
2024-04-28Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.