Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jeff McNeil

matchup for Roki Sasaki

340th out of 436 (Worst 22%)

Roki Sasaki

matchup for Jeff McNeil

out of 567 (Worst %)

Extreme advantage for McNeil

Jeff McNeil has a 35.8% chance of reaching base vs Roki Sasaki, which is 4.9% higher than McNeil's typical expectations, and 1.3% lower than batters facing Sasaki.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	35.8%	25.6%	3.4%	7.4%	14.8%	10.2%	15.1%
McNeil	+4.9	+0.8	+0.6	+1.7	-1.5	+4.1	-1.8
Sasaki	-1.3	+3.0	+0.4	+1.2	+1.4	-4.2	-7.5

Jeff McNeil is better vs right-handed pitching. Roki Sasaki is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. McNeil has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Roki Sasaki throws a 4-seam fastball 60% of the time. Jeff McNeil has an A- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

60%

Splitter (R)

26%

Slider (R)

15%

9% of Roki Sasaki's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 0% higher than the MLB average. Jeff McNeil has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 9%

+0%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Edge Painter 15%

-3%

Strong Challenge 1%

-4%

Chaser 1%

-5%

Meatball 1%

-5%

Likely Ball 13%

-7%

Mid Challenge 3%

-9%

52% of Roki Sasaki's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 31% higher than the MLB average. Jeff McNeil has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 52%

+31%

Very Fast Velo 34%

+26%

Offspeed (R) 26%

+14%

Large Drop 16%

+11%

8.9% of Jeff McNeil's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.6% lower than the league average. Roki Sasaki strikes out 19.4% of the batters he faces, which is 4.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

18%

Strikeout -9.6% -4.7% 5%

Walk -0.7% +27.6% 35%

In Play +10.3% -23.0% 39%

On Base +1.0% +14.9% 31%

Hit +1.7% -12.8% 14%

Single +1.2% -3.0% 13%

2B / 3B +1.3% -6.7% 3%

Home Run -0.8% -3.1%

34.1% of Jeff McNeil's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.3% lower than the league average. Roki Sasaki induces Standard Grounders at a 36.3% rate, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.4% +8.5% 34%

Standard Grounder -0.3% +1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.6% -7.8% 14%

Low Screamer +2.2% -6.1% 9%

Rising Liner +0.9% -0.3% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.5% -4.3% 3%

Likely Homer -1.4% -3.6% 1%

No Doubter -0.3% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.9% -2.5% 3%

Pop up +0.5% +15.2%

13.3% of Jeff McNeil's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 11.0% lower than the league average. 0.0% of batted balls allowed by Roki Sasaki are hit at above 100 mph, which is 24.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.4% +10.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph +2.7% -2.6% 18%

87 to 93 mph +5.3% +17.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph +2.6% -1.3% 24%

Above 100 mph -11.0% -24.3%

12.4% of Jeff McNeil's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.9% higher than the league average. 0.0% of batted balls allowed by Roki Sasaki are hit at this angle, which is 11.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%