Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jeff McNeil

matchup for Brandon Pfaadt

404th out of 436 (Worst 8%)

Brandon Pfaadt

matchup for Jeff McNeil

63rd out of 567 (Best 12%)

Extreme advantage for McNeil

Jeff McNeil has a 34.2% chance of reaching base vs Brandon Pfaadt, which is 3.2% higher than McNeil's typical expectations, and 1.7% higher than batters facing Pfaadt.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.2%	29.0%	3.3%	7.2%	18.4%	5.2%	19.4%
McNeil	+3.2	+4.1	+0.5	+1.5	+2.1	-0.9	+2.6
Pfaadt	+1.7	+4.5	+0.2	+2.0	+2.3	-2.7	-9.7

Jeff McNeil is better vs right-handed pitching. Brandon Pfaadt is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. McNeil has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Brandon Pfaadt throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Jeff McNeil has an A- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

38%

Slider (R)

27%

Sinker (R)

18%

Changeup (R)

12%

Curve (R)

19% of Brandon Pfaadt's pitches are classified as Edge Painters, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Jeff McNeil has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+0%

Meatball 6%

Fringe Miss 12%

Weak Challenge 8%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 9%

-3%

29% of Brandon Pfaadt's pitches are classified as Just Gravity, which is 15% higher than the MLB average. Jeff McNeil has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Just Gravity 29%

+15%

Medium Fast Velo 30%

+15%

Large Break 15%

+10%

8.9% of Jeff McNeil's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.6% lower than the league average. Brandon Pfaadt strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 1.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

18%

Strikeout -9.6% +1.2% 5%

Walk -0.7% -2.4% 35%

In Play +10.3% +1.2% 39%

On Base +1.0% -0.1% 31%

Hit +1.7% +2.4% 14%

Single +1.2% +0.5% 13%

2B / 3B +1.3% +0.9% 3%

Home Run -0.8% +1.0%

34.1% of Jeff McNeil's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.3% lower than the league average. Brandon Pfaadt induces Standard Grounders at a 32.0% rate, which is 2.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.4% +0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder -0.3% -2.4% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.6% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer +2.2% +2.6% 9%

Rising Liner +0.9% +0.2% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.5% -1.3% 3%

Likely Homer -1.4% +0.8% 1%

No Doubter -0.3% +0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.9% +0.9% 3%

Pop up +0.5% -1.0%

13.3% of Jeff McNeil's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 11.0% lower than the league average. 29.1% of batted balls allowed by Brandon Pfaadt are hit at above 100 mph, which is 4.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.4% -0.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph +2.7% -5.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph +5.3% +5.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph +2.6% -4.1% 24%

Above 100 mph -11.0% +4.8%

12.4% of Jeff McNeil's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.9% higher than the league average. 7.7% of batted balls allowed by Brandon Pfaadt are hit at this angle, which is 3.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -2.3% -3.6% 12%

-10 to 0° +0.0% +5.5% 8%

1 to 6° +0.7% -1.5% 18%

7 to 18° +0.5% -2.0% 15%

19 to 28° -0.6% +3.9% 11%

29 to 38° +0.9% -3.7% 7%

39 to 50° +1.1% -0.9% 8%

Above 50° -0.4% +2.4%

Jeff McNeil has 4 plate appearances against Brandon Pfaadt in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 4 with a double and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	4	4	1	0	1	0	0	0	0.250
Expected From Contact →			0.36	0.00	0.22	0.14			0.091

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-08-27	Forceout			3%	97%
2024-08-27	Double		18%	7%	74%
2024-06-02	Flyout		3%		96%
2024-06-02	GIDP			4%	96%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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