Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jeff McNeil

matchup for Taj Bradley

343rd out of 436 (Worst 22%)

Taj Bradley

matchup for Jeff McNeil

362nd out of 567 (Worst 36%)

Moderate advantage for McNeil

Jeff McNeil has a 31.1% chance of reaching base vs Taj Bradley, which is 0.1% higher than McNeil's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Bradley.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.1%	25.3%	2.4%	5.7%	17.2%	5.7%	18.9%
McNeil	+0.1	+0.5	-0.4	0.0	+0.9	-0.4	+2.0
Bradley	+0.4	+2.7	-0.2	+0.9	+2.1	-2.4	-7.5

Jeff McNeil is better vs right-handed pitching. Taj Bradley is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. McNeil has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Taj Bradley throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Jeff McNeil has an A- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

44%

Cutter (R)

24%

Splitter (R)

15%

Curve (R)

12%

Changeup (R)

15% of Taj Bradley's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Jeff McNeil has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 15%

+4%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Weak Challenge 9%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Non-Competitive 13%

Edge Painter 17%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-3%

36% of Taj Bradley's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 17% higher than the MLB average. Jeff McNeil has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 36%

+17%

Very Fast Velo 24%

+15%

Fastball (R) 68%

+14%

High Ride 24%

+13%

Offspeed (R) 20%

+9%

8.9% of Jeff McNeil's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.6% lower than the league average. Taj Bradley strikes out 18.3% of the batters he faces, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

18%

Strikeout -9.6% +3.2% 5%

Walk -0.7% +0.4% 35%

In Play +10.3% -3.5% 39%

On Base +1.0% -1.3% 31%

Hit +1.7% -1.6% 14%

Single +1.2% -1.6% 13%

2B / 3B +1.3% -1.2% 3%

Home Run -0.8% +1.2%

34.1% of Jeff McNeil's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.3% lower than the league average. Taj Bradley induces Standard Grounders at a 32.6% rate, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.4% -0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder -0.3% -1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.6% +0.8% 14%

Low Screamer +2.2% -4.6% 9%

Rising Liner +0.9% +2.4% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.5% +1.3% 3%

Likely Homer -1.4% +3.1% 1%

No Doubter -0.3% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.9% -2.0% 3%

Pop up +0.5% +1.4%

13.3% of Jeff McNeil's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 11.0% lower than the league average. 29.5% of batted balls allowed by Taj Bradley are hit at above 100 mph, which is 5.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.4% -3.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph +2.7% -0.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph +5.3% -2.1% 19%

94 to 99 mph +2.6% +1.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -11.0% +5.2%

12.4% of Jeff McNeil's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.9% higher than the league average. 13.8% of batted balls allowed by Taj Bradley are hit at this angle, which is 2.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -2.3% -1.0% 12%

-10 to 0° +0.0% +0.9% 8%

1 to 6° +0.7% -0.2% 18%

7 to 18° +0.5% +0.7% 15%

19 to 28° -0.6% -1.2% 11%

29 to 38° +0.9% +2.3% 7%

39 to 50° +1.1% -3.8% 8%

Above 50° -0.4% +2.3%

Jeff McNeil has 2 plate appearances against Taj Bradley in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a strikeout.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	0.500
Expected From Contact →			0.64	0.00	0.00	0.63			0.319

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-05-18	Single			63%	36%
2023-05-18	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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