Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jeff McNeil

matchup for Tarik Skubal

330th out of 436 (Worst 25%)

Tarik Skubal

matchup for Jeff McNeil

558th out of 567 (Worst 2%)

Strong advantage for Skubal

Jeff McNeil has a 25.4% chance of reaching base vs Tarik Skubal, which is 5.6% lower than McNeil's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Skubal.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	25.4%	22.0%	1.9%	4.6%	15.5%	3.4%	21.8%
McNeil	-5.6	-2.9	-0.9	-1.2	-0.8	-2.7	+5.0
Skubal	+0.1	+2.0	-0.3	+0.5	+1.7	-1.8	-7.9

Jeff McNeil is worse vs left-handed pitching. Tarik Skubal is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. McNeil has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Tarik Skubal throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Jeff McNeil has a D- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

37%

Slider (L)

21%

Changeup (L)

20%

Sinker (L)

16%

Kn-Curve (L)

15% of Tarik Skubal's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Jeff McNeil has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 15%

+4%

Weak Challenge 11%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Chaser 6%

Fringe Miss 12%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-2%

Likely Ball 17%

-3%

16% of Tarik Skubal's pitches are classified as Very Fast Velocity, which is 13% higher than the MLB average. Jeff McNeil has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Fast Velo 16%

+13%

Medium Ride 23%

+9%

8.9% of Jeff McNeil's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.6% lower than the league average. Tarik Skubal strikes out 20.2% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

18%

Strikeout -9.6% +6.3% 5%

Walk -0.7% -3.3% 35%

In Play +10.3% -3.0% 39%

On Base +1.0% -5.6% 31%

Hit +1.7% -2.3% 14%

Single +1.2% -1.3% 13%

2B / 3B +1.3% -1.0% 3%

Home Run -0.8% 0.0%

34.1% of Jeff McNeil's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.3% lower than the league average. Tarik Skubal induces Standard Grounders at a 37.0% rate, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.4% +0.4% 34%

Standard Grounder -0.3% +2.6% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.6% -2.7% 14%

Low Screamer +2.2% -2.3% 9%

Rising Liner +0.9% -0.2% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.5% -2.0% 3%

Likely Homer -1.4% +1.2% 1%

No Doubter -0.3% -0.4% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.9% +2.8% 3%

Pop up +0.5% +0.6%

13.3% of Jeff McNeil's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 11.0% lower than the league average. 23.2% of batted balls allowed by Tarik Skubal are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.4% -1.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph +2.7% +0.3% 18%

87 to 93 mph +5.3% +2.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph +2.6% -0.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -11.0% -1.1%

12.4% of Jeff McNeil's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.9% higher than the league average. 10.7% of batted balls allowed by Tarik Skubal are hit at this angle, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%