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Jeff McNeil

matchup for Cole Ragans

320th out of 436 (Worst 27%)

Cole Ragans

matchup for Jeff McNeil

480th out of 567 (Worst 16%)

Leans in favor of Ragans

Jeff McNeil has a 29.0% chance of reaching base vs Cole Ragans, which is 2.0% lower than McNeil's typical expectations, and 1.1% lower than batters facing Ragans.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.0%	21.2%	2.4%	5.2%	13.6%	7.8%	19.5%
McNeil	-2.0	-3.7	-0.4	-0.5	-2.7	+1.7	+2.7
Ragans	-1.1	+2.9	+0.0	+0.7	+2.1	-4.0	-9.8

Jeff McNeil is worse vs left-handed pitching. Cole Ragans is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. McNeil has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.

Cole Ragans throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Jeff McNeil has a D- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

42%

Changeup (L)

24%

Cutter (L)

13%

Slider (L)

10%

Kn-Curve (L)

21% of Cole Ragans's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Jeff McNeil has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Meatball 4%

-2%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 7%

-2%

43% of Cole Ragans's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 22% higher than the MLB average. Jeff McNeil has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 43%

+22%

Offspeed (L) 24%

+12%

Very Fast Velo 14%

+11%

High Ride 20%

+10%

8.9% of Jeff McNeil's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.6% lower than the league average. Cole Ragans strikes out 18.7% of the batters he faces, which is 4.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

18%

Strikeout -9.6% +4.5% 5%

Walk -0.7% +1.2% 35%

In Play +10.3% -5.8% 39%

On Base +1.0% -1.8% 31%

Hit +1.7% -3.0% 14%

Single +1.2% -1.6% 13%

2B / 3B +1.3% -1.2% 3%

Home Run -0.8% -0.2%

34.1% of Jeff McNeil's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.3% lower than the league average. Cole Ragans induces Standard Grounders at a 31.0% rate, which is 3.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.4% +2.2% 34%

Standard Grounder -0.3% -3.4% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.6% +2.6% 14%

Low Screamer +2.2% +0.6% 9%

Rising Liner +0.9% +1.2% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.5% -0.8% 3%

Likely Homer -1.4% -2.2% 1%

No Doubter -0.3% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.9% -2.2% 3%

Pop up +0.5% +2.0%

13.3% of Jeff McNeil's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 11.0% lower than the league average. 17.3% of batted balls allowed by Cole Ragans are hit at above 100 mph, which is 7.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.4% +3.5% 21%

75 to 86 mph +2.7% -0.8% 18%

87 to 93 mph +5.3% +5.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph +2.6% -1.4% 24%

Above 100 mph -11.0% -7.0%

12.4% of Jeff McNeil's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.9% higher than the league average. 9.6% of batted balls allowed by Cole Ragans are hit at this angle, which is 1.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -2.3% +4.1% 12%

-10 to 0° +0.0% -5.7% 8%

1 to 6° +0.7% +2.9% 18%

7 to 18° +0.5% +2.4% 15%

19 to 28° -0.6% -5.4% 11%

29 to 38° +0.9% -1.8% 7%

39 to 50° +1.1% +0.0% 8%

Above 50° -0.4% +3.4%

Jeff McNeil has 5 plate appearances against Cole Ragans in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 5.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	5	5	3	0	0	3	0	0	0.600
Expected From Contact →			1.30	0.00	0.01	1.29			0.261

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-04-14	Groundout			22%	77%
2024-04-14	Hit By Pitch
2023-08-02	Single			11%	89%
2023-08-02	Single			23%	77%
2023-08-02	Single			74%	26%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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