Matchup Machine

Jeff McNeil

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matchup for Chad Green

354th out of 436 (Worst 19%)

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Chad Green

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matchup for Jeff McNeil

439th out of 567 (Worst 23%)

Leans in favor of McNeil
1

Model Prediction

Jeff McNeil has a 27.0% chance of reaching base vs Chad Green, which is 4.0% lower than McNeil's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Green.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction27.0%23.4%3.4%5.8%14.2%3.6%16.4%
McNeil-4.0-1.4+0.6+0.0-2.1-2.6-0.4
Green+0.2+3.2+0.1+0.8+2.4-3.0-8.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Jeff McNeil is better vs right-handed pitching. Chad Green is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. McNeil has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Chad Green throws a 4-seam fastball 72% of the time. Jeff McNeil has an A- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
72%
   Slider (R)
14%
   Curve (R)
11%

Contact and Outcomes

8.9% of Jeff McNeil's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.6% lower than the league average. Chad Green strikes out 21.3% of the batters he faces, which is 9.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -9.6% +9.3% 5%         Walk -0.7% -3.9% 35%         In Play +10.3% -5.4% 39%         On Base +1.0% -8.6% 31%         Hit +1.7% -4.7% 14%         Single +1.2% -2.2% 13%         2B / 3B +1.3% -2.9% 3%         Home Run -0.8% +0.3%

History

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