matchup for Jose Berrios
matchup for Jeff McNeil
7
Jeff McNeil has a 32.7% chance of reaching base vs Jose Berrios, which is 1.6% higher than McNeil's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Berrios.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 32.7% | 27.3% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 18.6% | 5.4% | 15.9% |
| McNeil | +1.6 | +2.4 | +0.2 | -0.1 | +2.3 | -0.8 | -0.8 |
| Berrios | +0.4 | +2.6 | +0.2 | +0.4 | +2.1 | -2.3 | -6.3 |
Jeff McNeil is better vs right-handed pitching. Jose Berrios is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. McNeil has a B grade vs this particular release point.
Jose Berrios throws a Sinker 30% of the time. Jeff McNeil has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
Sinker (R)
30%
Curve (R)
30%
4-Seam (R)
23%
Changeup (R)
16%
18% of Jose Berrios's pitches are classified as Edge Painters, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Jeff McNeil has a D grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Edge Painter
18%
+1%
Weak Challenge
9%
+1%
Chaser
7%
+1%
Likely Ball
20%
+1%
Fringe Miss
13%
+0%
Strong Challenge
5%
0%
Mid Challenge
11%
0%
Meatball
4%
-2%
Non-Competitive
10%
-3%
31% of Jose Berrios's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 17% higher than the MLB average. Jeff McNeil has an A grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Extreme Break
31%
+17%
Low Ride
39%
+15%
Very Slow Velo
26%
+12%
8.9% of Jeff McNeil's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.6% lower than the league average. Jose Berrios strikes out 15.4% of the batters he faces, which is 0.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.
18%
Strikeout
-9.6%
+0.7%
5%
Walk
-0.7%
-0.8%
35%
In Play
+10.3%
+0.1%
39%
On Base
+1.0%
-0.3%
31%
Hit
+1.7%
+0.6%
14%
Single
+1.2%
+0.1%
13%
2B / 3B
+1.3%
+0.4%
3%
Home Run
-0.8%
+0.2%
34.1% of Jeff McNeil's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.3% lower than the league average. Jose Berrios induces Standard Grounders at a 34.7% rate, which is 0.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.4%
-0.4%
34%
Standard Grounder
-0.3%
+0.2%
7%
Hard Grounder
-0.6%
-0.7%
14%
Low Screamer
+2.2%
-0.4%
9%
Rising Liner
+0.9%
+1.6%
4%
Maybe Homer
-1.5%
+0.5%
3%
Likely Homer
-1.4%
+0.5%
1%
No Doubter
-0.3%
+0.2%
20%
Routine Flyout
+0.9%
-1.5%
3%
Pop up
+0.5%
-0.1%
13.3% of Jeff McNeil's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 11.0% lower than the league average. 26.4% of batted balls allowed by Jose Berrios are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
+0.4%
+0.6%
21%
75 to 86 mph
+2.7%
-1.1%
18%
87 to 93 mph
+5.3%
-0.6%
19%
94 to 99 mph
+2.6%
-1.0%
24%
Above 100 mph
-11.0%
+2.1%
12.4% of Jeff McNeil's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.9% higher than the league average. 11.9% of batted balls allowed by Jose Berrios are hit at this angle, which is 0.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
-2.3%
-1.0%
12%
-10 to 0°
+0.0%
+0.5%
8%
1 to 6°
+0.7%
-0.4%
18%
7 to 18°
+0.5%
+1.4%
15%
19 to 28°
-0.6%
0.0%
11%
29 to 38°
+0.9%
+0.5%
7%
39 to 50°
+1.1%
-0.1%
8%
Above 50°
-0.4%
-0.8%
Jeff McNeil has 3 plate appearances against Jose Berrios in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a walk
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 |
| Expected From Contact → | 1.15 | 0.00 | 0.17 | 0.97 | 0.573 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2023-06-03 | Walk | ||||
| 2023-06-03 | Single | 2% | 89% | 9% | |
| 2023-06-03 | Groundout | 15% | 8% | 76% | |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
