Matchup Machine

Jeff McNeil

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matchup for Tyler Duffey

349th out of 436 (Worst 20%)

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Tyler Duffey

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matchup for Jeff McNeil

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for McNeil
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Model Prediction

Jeff McNeil has a 33.1% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Duffey, which is 2.1% higher than McNeil's typical expectations, and 1.0% lower than batters facing Duffey.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.1%25.8%2.7%7.0%16.1%7.3%17.0%
McNeil+2.1+1.0-0.1+1.2-0.2+1.2+0.2
Duffey-1.0+3.2+0.1+1.7+1.4-4.2-7.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Jeff McNeil is better vs right-handed pitching. Tyler Duffey is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. McNeil has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Duffey throws a Kn-Curve 42% of the time. Jeff McNeil hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Kn-Curve (R)
42%
   4-Seam (R)
40%
   Sinker (R)
14%

Contact and Outcomes

8.9% of Jeff McNeil's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.6% lower than the league average. Tyler Duffey strikes out 17.0% of the batters he faces, which is 3.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -9.6% +3.7% 5%         Walk -0.7% -2.4% 35%         In Play +10.3% -1.3% 39%         On Base +1.0% -5.5% 31%         Hit +1.7% -3.1% 14%         Single +1.2% -1.3% 13%         2B / 3B +1.3% -1.3% 3%         Home Run -0.8% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years