Matchup Machine

Jeff McNeil

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matchup for Domingo German

302nd out of 436 (Worst 31%)

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Domingo German

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matchup for Jeff McNeil

165th out of 567 (Best 30%)

Strong advantage for McNeil
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Model Prediction

Jeff McNeil has a 31.8% chance of reaching base vs Domingo German, which is 0.9% higher than McNeil's typical expectations, and 1.9% lower than batters facing German.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.8%25.0%3.4%5.6%16.0%6.9%14.2%
McNeil+0.9+0.1+0.6-0.2-0.3+0.7-2.7
German-1.9+2.0+0.4+0.5+1.1-3.9-7.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Jeff McNeil is better vs right-handed pitching. Domingo German is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. McNeil has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Domingo German throws a Curve 36% of the time. Jeff McNeil has an A grade against right-handed Curves

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Curve (R)
36%
   4-Seam (R)
30%
   Changeup (R)
20%
   Sinker (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

8.9% of Jeff McNeil's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.6% lower than the league average. Domingo German strikes out 17.0% of the batters he faces, which is 2.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -9.6% +2.5% 5%         Walk -0.7% 0.0% 35%         In Play +10.3% -2.5% 39%         On Base +1.0% -3.0% 31%         Hit +1.7% -3.0% 14%         Single +1.2% -1.8% 13%         2B / 3B +1.3% -1.4% 3%         Home Run -0.8% +0.2%

History

Jeff McNeil has 7 plate appearances against Domingo German in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 6 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual760000010.000
Expected From Contact →0.940.000.170.770.157
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-07-25Walk
2023-07-25Lineout10%39%51%
2023-07-25Groundout1%99%
2022-08-22Lineout1%6%93%
2022-08-22Pop Out100%
2022-07-27Lineout3%29%68%
2022-07-27Lineout2%2%96%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.