Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Isiah Kiner-Falefa

matchup for Jared Jones

279th out of 436 (Worst 36%)

Jared Jones

matchup for I. Kiner-Falefa

443rd out of 567 (Worst 22%)

Leans in favor of Kiner-Falefa

Isiah Kiner-Falefa has a 32.3% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 1.8% lower than Kiner-Falefa's typical expectations, and 1.3% higher than batters facing Jones.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.3%	23.5%	1.5%	4.9%	17.1%	8.8%	20.4%
Kiner-Falefa	-1.8	-3.1	0.0	+0.0	-3.1	+1.3	+3.9
Jones	+1.3	+2.7	-1.5	-0.1	+4.3	-1.4	-8.1

Isiah Kiner-Falefa is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Kiner-Falefa has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has a B- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Slider (R)

35%

Curve (R)

Changeup (R)

17% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 17%

+6%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 6%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-4%

36% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 36%

+16%

Extreme Fast Velo 18%

+15%

Breaking (R) 44%

+13%

High Ride 22%

+11%

10.1% of Isiah Kiner-Falefa's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.6% lower than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout -7.6% +0.4% 6%

Walk -4.0% +0.6% 35%

In Play +11.6% -1.1% 39%

On Base +6.7% -0.1% 31%

Hit +10.8% -0.8% 14%

Single +6.0% -1.1% 13%

2B / 3B +6.4% -0.5% 3%

Home Run -1.7% +0.9%

46.5% of Isiah Kiner-Falefa's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 12.1% higher than the league average. Jared Jones induces Standard Grounders at a 30.0% rate, which is 4.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.3% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder +12.1% -4.4% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.2% +0.4% 14%

Low Screamer +2.0% -2.4% 9%

Rising Liner -0.5% +1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.9% +1.5% 3%

Likely Homer -2.9% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter -1.1% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -5.0% +1.5% 3%

Pop up -0.8% +2.5%

11.7% of Isiah Kiner-Falefa's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 12.6% lower than the league average. 24.7% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.5% +1.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph +4.6% -4.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.7% -2.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph +2.7% +5.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -12.6% +0.4%

8.5% of Isiah Kiner-Falefa's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.0% lower than the league average. 8.9% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%