Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Isiah Kiner-Falefa

matchup for Alex Speas

304th out of 436 (Worst 31%)

Alex Speas

matchup for I. Kiner-Falefa

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Kiner-Falefa

Isiah Kiner-Falefa has a 35.2% chance of reaching base vs Alex Speas, which is 1.1% higher than Kiner-Falefa's typical expectations, and 1.2% higher than batters facing Speas.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	35.2%	24.3%	1.5%	4.8%	17.9%	10.9%	16.6%
Kiner-Falefa	+1.1	-2.3	+0.1	0.0	-2.3	+3.4	+0.2
Speas	+1.2	+3.2	-1.0	-0.3	+4.5	-1.9	-7.8

Isiah Kiner-Falefa is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Alex Speas is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Kiner-Falefa has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Alex Speas throws a Cutter 77% of the time. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has an A+ grade against right-handed Cutters

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Cutter (R)

77%

4-Seam (R)

19%

12% of Alex Speas's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 12%

+3%

Fringe Miss 15%

+3%

Likely Ball 22%

+3%

Non-Competitive 15%

+3%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Edge Painter 13%

-4%

Mid Challenge 4%

-7%

96% of Alex Speas's pitches are classified as Fastball Pitches, which is 42% higher than the MLB average. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has a B grade against this type of pitch from right handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fastball (R) 96%

+42%

Minimal Break 38%

+28%

Small Drop 36%

+23%

Medium Velo 27%

+17%

10.1% of Isiah Kiner-Falefa's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.6% lower than the league average. Alex Speas strikes out 24.0% of the batters he faces, which is 19.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout -7.6% +19.9% 6%

Walk -4.0% -0.6% 35%

In Play +11.6% -19.3% 39%

On Base +6.7% -8.2% 31%

Hit +10.8% -7.6% 14%

Single +6.0% -5.7% 13%

2B / 3B +6.4% -5.2% 3%

Home Run -1.7% +3.3%

46.5% of Isiah Kiner-Falefa's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 12.1% higher than the league average. Alex Speas induces Standard Grounders at a 22.2% rate, which is 12.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.3% -0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder +12.1% -12.2% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.2% -7.8% 14%

Low Screamer +2.0% +9.7% 9%

Rising Liner -0.5% +5.2% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.9% -4.3% 3%

Likely Homer -2.9% +10.2% 1%

No Doubter -1.1% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -5.0% -7.4% 3%

Pop up -0.8% +8.5%

11.7% of Isiah Kiner-Falefa's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 12.6% lower than the league average. 13.8% of batted balls allowed by Alex Speas are hit at above 100 mph, which is 10.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.5% +8.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph +4.6% -9.3% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.7% +6.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph +2.7% +4.6% 24%

Above 100 mph -12.6% -10.5%

8.5% of Isiah Kiner-Falefa's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.0% lower than the league average. 25.7% of batted balls allowed by Alex Speas are hit at this angle, which is 14.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%