Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Isiah Kiner-Falefa

matchup for Dylan Cease

277th out of 436 (Worst 37%)

Dylan Cease

matchup for I. Kiner-Falefa

526th out of 567 (Worst 7%)

Moderate advantage for Cease

Isiah Kiner-Falefa has a 30.9% chance of reaching base vs Dylan Cease, which is 3.3% lower than Kiner-Falefa's typical expectations, and 1.0% higher than batters facing Cease.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.9%	22.3%	1.1%	3.9%	17.2%	8.6%	21.0%
Kiner-Falefa	-3.3	-4.3	-0.4	-1.0	-3.0	+1.1	+4.5
Cease	+1.0	+2.6	-1.0	-0.5	+4.1	-1.6	-5.5

Isiah Kiner-Falefa is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Dylan Cease is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Kiner-Falefa has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Dylan Cease throws a Slider 43% of the time. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has a B grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Slider (R)

43%

4-Seam (R)

42%

Kn-Curve (R)

12%

23% of Dylan Cease's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 23%

+4%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Edge Painter 16%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-3%

55% of Dylan Cease's pitches are classified as Breaking Pitches, which is 24% higher than the MLB average. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has a B grade against this type of pitch from right handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Breaking (R) 55%

+24%

Minimal Break 30%

+21%

Very Fast Velo 23%

+15%

High Ride 22%

+12%

10.1% of Isiah Kiner-Falefa's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.6% lower than the league average. Dylan Cease strikes out 19.1% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout -7.6% +6.3% 6%

Walk -4.0% +1.0% 35%

In Play +11.6% -7.3% 39%

On Base +6.7% -3.9% 31%

Hit +10.8% -4.8% 14%

Single +6.0% -2.5% 13%

2B / 3B +6.4% -2.0% 3%

Home Run -1.7% -0.3%

46.5% of Isiah Kiner-Falefa's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 12.1% higher than the league average. Dylan Cease induces Standard Grounders at a 31.2% rate, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.3% +0.6% 34%

Standard Grounder +12.1% -3.3% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.2% -2.0% 14%

Low Screamer +2.0% +1.9% 9%

Rising Liner -0.5% +2.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.9% -0.7% 3%

Likely Homer -2.9% +1.4% 1%

No Doubter -1.1% +0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout -5.0% -1.7% 3%

Pop up -0.8% +1.5%

11.7% of Isiah Kiner-Falefa's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 12.6% lower than the league average. 25.3% of batted balls allowed by Dylan Cease are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.5% -0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph +4.6% +2.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.7% -1.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph +2.7% -1.0% 24%

Above 100 mph -12.6% +1.0%

8.5% of Isiah Kiner-Falefa's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.0% lower than the league average. 11.1% of batted balls allowed by Dylan Cease are hit at this angle, which is 0.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%