Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Isiah Kiner-Falefa

matchup for Sandy Alcantara

312th out of 436 (Worst 29%)

Sandy Alcantara

matchup for I. Kiner-Falefa

out of 567 (Worst %)

Leans in favor of Alcantara

Isiah Kiner-Falefa has a 31.2% chance of reaching base vs Sandy Alcantara, which is 1.2% lower than Kiner-Falefa's typical expectations, and 1.1% higher than batters facing Alcantara.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.2%	25.0%	1.5%	4.0%	19.6%	6.2%	18.9%
Kiner-Falefa	-1.2	-1.1	-0.1	-1.1	+0.1	-0.1	+2.0
Alcantara	+1.1	+3.0	-0.7	-0.4	+4.1	-1.9	-7.3

Isiah Kiner-Falefa is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Sandy Alcantara is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Kiner-Falefa has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Sandy Alcantara throws a Sinker 28% of the time. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has a C+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

28%

Changeup (R)

25%

4-Seam (R)

23%

Slider (R)

22%

12% of Sandy Alcantara's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 12%

+4%

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Chaser 8%

+2%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

Likely Ball 17%

-2%

Non-Competitive 9%

-3%

Meatball 2%

-4%

48% of Sandy Alcantara's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 33% higher than the MLB average. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Break 48%

+33%

Extreme Fast Velo 22%

+19%

Small Drop 30%

+17%

Offspeed (R) 25%

+13%

10.5% of Isiah Kiner-Falefa's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.8% lower than the league average. Sandy Alcantara strikes out 17.6% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout -6.8% +2.6% 6%

Walk -4.5% -0.7% 35%

In Play +11.3% -1.9% 39%

On Base +5.5% -4.4% 31%

Hit +10.0% -3.7% 14%

Single +5.6% -1.2% 13%

2B / 3B +6.0% -1.2% 3%

Home Run -1.6% -1.4%

46.5% of Isiah Kiner-Falefa's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 12.1% higher than the league average. Sandy Alcantara induces Standard Grounders at a 43.0% rate, which is 8.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.3% +0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder +12.1% +8.6% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.2% -0.2% 14%

Low Screamer +2.2% -2.9% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% -1.6% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.9% -0.5% 3%

Likely Homer -2.8% -0.8% 1%

No Doubter -1.1% -0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout -5.1% -2.8% 3%

Pop up -0.8% +0.1%

11.7% of Isiah Kiner-Falefa's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 12.6% lower than the league average. 22.9% of batted balls allowed by Sandy Alcantara are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.7% +1.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph +4.6% +1.8% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.7% -3.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph +2.6% +1.5% 24%

Above 100 mph -12.6% -1.4%

8.4% of Isiah Kiner-Falefa's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.0% lower than the league average. 10.3% of batted balls allowed by Sandy Alcantara are hit at this angle, which is 1.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +9.6% +8.8% 12%

-10 to 0° +0.1% +1.1% 8%

1 to 6° +1.1% -1.0% 18%

7 to 18° +0.8% -2.2% 15%

19 to 28° -3.9% -2.5% 11%

29 to 38° -3.0% -1.1% 7%

39 to 50° -2.0% -2.1% 8%

Above 50° -2.7% -1.0%

Isiah Kiner-Falefa has 6 plate appearances against Sandy Alcantara in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 5 with a walk

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	6	5	1	0	0	1	2	1	0.200
Expected From Contact →			1.08	0.00	0.40	0.68			0.215

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2025-03-27	Strikeout
2025-03-27	Walk
2023-08-12	Forceout			5%	95%
2023-08-12	Single		40%	51%	10%
2023-08-12	Strikeout
2023-08-12	Groundout			13%	87%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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