Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Danny Jansen

matchup for Jared Jones

368th out of 436 (Worst 16%)

Jared Jones

matchup for Danny Jansen

332nd out of 567 (Worst 42%)

Moderate advantage for Jansen

Danny Jansen has a 35.3% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 0.7% higher than Jansen's typical expectations, and 4.3% higher than batters facing Jones.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	35.3%	19.0%	2.6%	4.7%	11.7%	16.4%	25.5%
Jansen	+0.7	-1.0	+0.0	-0.3	-0.8	+1.8	+2.8
Jones	+4.3	-1.9	-0.4	-0.3	-1.2	+6.1	-3.0

Danny Jansen is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Jansen has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Danny Jansen has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Slider (R)

35%

Curve (R)

Changeup (R)

17% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Danny Jansen has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 17%

+6%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 6%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-4%

36% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Danny Jansen has a D- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 36%

+16%

Extreme Fast Velo 18%

+15%

Breaking (R) 44%

+13%

High Ride 22%

+11%

12.1% of Danny Jansen's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% lower than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -4.3% +0.4% 3%

Walk +3.5% +0.6% 39%

In Play +0.8% -1.1% 39%

On Base -4.1% -0.1% 31%

Hit -7.6% -0.8% 14%

Single -4.5% -1.1% 13%

2B / 3B -4.0% -0.5% 3%

Home Run +0.9% +0.9%

26.8% of Danny Jansen's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 7.6% lower than the league average. Jared Jones induces Standard Grounders at a 30.0% rate, which is 4.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.2% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder -7.6% -4.4% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.3% +0.4% 14%

Low Screamer -0.6% -2.4% 9%

Rising Liner -2.3% +1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.2% +1.5% 3%

Likely Homer +1.5% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter +2.9% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +3.6% +1.5% 3%

Pop up +3.5% +2.5%

24.8% of Danny Jansen's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 24.7% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.2% +1.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.2% -4.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% -2.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph +3.5% +5.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +0.5% +0.4%

13.0% of Danny Jansen's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.6% higher than the league average. 8.9% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%