Danny Jansen has a 36.8% chance of reaching base vs Simeon Woods Rich., which is 2.2% higher than Jansen's typical expectations, and 2.8% higher than batters facing Woods Rich..
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 36.8% | 21.6% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 19.0% |
Jansen | +2.2 | +1.6 | +0.5 | +0.1 | +1.0 | +0.6 | -3.8 |
Woods Rich. | +2.8 | -2.9 | -0.3 | +0.0 | -2.6 | +5.7 | -2.8 |
Danny Jansen is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Simeon Woods Rich. is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Jansen has an A- grade vs this particular release point.
Simeon Woods Rich. throws a 4-seam fastball 40% of the time. Danny Jansen has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers
12.1% of Danny Jansen's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% lower than the league average. Simeon Woods Rich. strikes out 13.3% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.
Danny Jansen has 2 plate appearances against Simeon Woods Rich. in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.05 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.026 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2024-05-11 | Flyout | 2% | 3% | 95% | |
2024-05-11 | Pop Out | 100% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.