Matchup Machine

Danny Jansen

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matchup for S. Woods Rich.

353rd out of 436 (Worst 19%)

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Simeon Woods Rich.

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matchup for Danny Jansen

126th out of 567 (Best 23%)

Extreme advantage for Jansen
9

Model Prediction

Danny Jansen has a 36.8% chance of reaching base vs Simeon Woods Rich., which is 2.2% higher than Jansen's typical expectations, and 2.8% higher than batters facing Woods Rich..

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction36.8%21.6%3.0%5.1%13.5%15.2%19.0%
Jansen+2.2+1.6+0.5+0.1+1.0+0.6-3.8
Woods Rich.+2.8-2.9-0.3+0.0-2.6+5.7-2.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Danny Jansen is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Simeon Woods Rich. is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Jansen has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Simeon Woods Rich. throws a 4-seam fastball 40% of the time. Danny Jansen has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
40%
   Slider (R)
30%
   Changeup (R)
20%
   Curve (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

12.1% of Danny Jansen's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% lower than the league average. Simeon Woods Rich. strikes out 13.3% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -4.3% -3.3% 3%         Walk +3.5% +1.1% 39%         In Play +0.8% +2.2% 39%         On Base -4.1% +4.2% 31%         Hit -7.6% +3.1% 14%         Single -4.5% +0.8% 13%         2B / 3B -4.0% +1.3% 3%         Home Run +0.9% +1.0%

History

Danny Jansen has 2 plate appearances against Simeon Woods Rich. in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.050.020.030.000.026
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-11Flyout2%3%95%
2024-05-11Pop Out100%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.