Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Danny Jansen

matchup for Ryan Weathers

377th out of 436 (Worst 14%)

Ryan Weathers

matchup for Danny Jansen

346th out of 567 (Worst 39%)

Moderate advantage for Jansen

Danny Jansen has a 34.4% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 0.2% higher than Jansen's typical expectations, and 4.5% higher than batters facing Weathers.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.4%	19.2%	2.0%	5.9%	11.2%	15.2%	23.1%
Jansen	-0.2	-0.8	-0.5	+1.0	-1.2	+0.6	+0.3
Weathers	+4.5	-2.3	0.0	+0.4	-2.7	+6.9	-1.7

Danny Jansen is a bit worse vs left-handed pitching. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Jansen has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.

Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Danny Jansen has a C grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

44%

Slider (L)

25%

Changeup (L)

18%

Sinker (L)

13%

12% of Ryan Weathers's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Danny Jansen has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Edge Painter 17%

Weak Challenge 8%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

53% of Ryan Weathers's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 32% higher than the MLB average. Danny Jansen has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 53%

+32%

Fast Velo 28%

+19%

Low Ride 37%

+14%

12.1% of Danny Jansen's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% lower than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -4.3% -2.1% 3%

Walk +3.5% -0.6% 39%

In Play +0.8% +2.7% 39%

On Base -4.1% +0.9% 31%

Hit -7.6% +1.5% 14%

Single -4.5% +0.9% 13%

2B / 3B -4.0% +1.2% 3%

Home Run +0.9% -0.5%

26.8% of Danny Jansen's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 7.6% lower than the league average. Ryan Weathers induces Standard Grounders at a 40.1% rate, which is 5.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.2% +0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder -7.6% +5.7% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.3% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer -0.6% -1.1% 9%

Rising Liner -2.3% -1.3% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.2% +1.4% 3%

Likely Homer +1.5% -0.7% 1%

No Doubter +2.9% +0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout +3.6% -5.5% 3%

Pop up +3.5% +1.2%

24.8% of Danny Jansen's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 25.4% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Weathers are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.2% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.2% +1.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% -0.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph +3.5% -2.0% 24%

Above 100 mph +0.5% +1.1%

13.0% of Danny Jansen's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.6% higher than the league average. 7.7% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Weathers are hit at this angle, which is 3.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%