Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Danny Jansen

matchup for Logan Gillaspie

312th out of 436 (Worst 29%)

Logan Gillaspie

matchup for Danny Jansen

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Jansen

Danny Jansen has a 33.6% chance of reaching base vs Logan Gillaspie, which is 1.0% lower than Jansen's typical expectations, and 2.1% higher than batters facing Gillaspie.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.6%	24.4%	2.6%	5.2%	16.7%	9.2%	18.9%
Jansen	-1.0	+4.4	0.0	+0.2	+4.2	-5.4	-3.9
Gillaspie	+2.1	-0.8	-0.1	-0.3	-0.4	+2.9	-0.5

Danny Jansen is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Logan Gillaspie is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Jansen has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

Logan Gillaspie throws a 4-seam fastball 46% of the time. Danny Jansen has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

46%

Slider (R)

24%

Changeup (R)

18%

Curve (R)

14% of Logan Gillaspie's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Danny Jansen has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Weak Challenge 9%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Meatball 6%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Non-Competitive 8%

-5%

32% of Logan Gillaspie's pitches are classified as Fast Velocity, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Danny Jansen has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fast Velo 32%

+16%

Medium Break 33%

+14%

High Ride 21%

+11%

12.1% of Danny Jansen's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% lower than the league average. Logan Gillaspie strikes out 10.1% of the batters he faces, which is 9.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -4.3% -9.1% 3%

Walk +3.5% -5.0% 39%

In Play +0.8% +14.2% 39%

On Base -4.1% +11.5% 31%

Hit -7.6% +16.6% 14%

Single -4.5% +8.6% 13%

2B / 3B -4.0% +7.8% 3%

Home Run +0.9% +0.2%

26.8% of Danny Jansen's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 7.6% lower than the league average. Logan Gillaspie induces Standard Grounders at a 30.6% rate, which is 3.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.2% +1.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -7.6% -3.8% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.3% -2.1% 14%

Low Screamer -0.6% +0.6% 9%

Rising Liner -2.3% +3.7% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.2% -0.6% 3%

Likely Homer +1.5% -2.5% 1%

No Doubter +2.9% +0.7% 20%

Routine Flyout +3.6% +4.7% 3%

Pop up +3.5% -1.7%

24.8% of Danny Jansen's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 31.6% of batted balls allowed by Logan Gillaspie are hit at above 100 mph, which is 7.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.2% -3.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.2% -4.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% -5.9% 19%

94 to 99 mph +3.5% +5.7% 24%

Above 100 mph +0.5% +7.3%

13.0% of Danny Jansen's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.6% higher than the league average. 11.3% of batted balls allowed by Logan Gillaspie are hit at this angle, which is 0.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -4.0% +0.9% 12%

-10 to 0° -2.7% +0.6% 8%

1 to 6° -2.3% -3.2% 18%

7 to 18° -2.5% +0.9% 15%

19 to 28° +4.9% +6.4% 11%

29 to 38° +1.6% -0.1% 7%

39 to 50° +0.9% -2.9% 8%

Above 50° +4.1% -2.7%

Danny Jansen has 2 plate appearances against Logan Gillaspie in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with 2 strikeouts.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00			0.000

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2022-10-05	Strikeout
2022-08-17	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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