Matchup Machine

Danny Jansen

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matchup for Logan Allen

412th out of 436 (Worst 6%)

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Logan Allen

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matchup for Danny Jansen

26th out of 567 (Best 5%)

Extreme advantage for Jansen
10

Model Prediction

Danny Jansen has a 39.7% chance of reaching base vs Logan Allen, which is 5.1% higher than Jansen's typical expectations, and 4.7% higher than batters facing Allen.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction39.7%24.0%3.2%5.1%15.8%15.7%16.7%
Jansen+5.1+4.0+0.6+0.1+3.4+1.1-6.0
Allen+4.7-2.0+0.3-0.8-1.5+6.7-0.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Danny Jansen is a bit worse vs left-handed pitching. Logan Allen is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Jansen has an F grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Logan Allen throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Danny Jansen has a C grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Slider (L)
28%
   Changeup (L)
14%
   Curve (L)
7%
   Cutter (L)
5%

Contact and Outcomes

12.1% of Danny Jansen's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% lower than the league average. Logan Allen strikes out 12.8% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -4.3% -2.6% 3%         Walk +3.5% +1.3% 39%         In Play +0.8% +1.3% 39%         On Base -4.1% +6.7% 31%         Hit -7.6% +5.4% 14%         Single -4.5% +2.7% 13%         2B / 3B -4.0% +3.1% 3%         Home Run +0.9% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years