Matchup Machine

Danny Jansen

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matchup for Sandy Alcantara

353rd out of 436 (Worst 19%)

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Sandy Alcantara

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matchup for Danny Jansen

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Jansen
4

Model Prediction

Danny Jansen has a 35.4% chance of reaching base vs Sandy Alcantara, which is 0.7% higher than Jansen's typical expectations, and 3.1% higher than batters facing Alcantara.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.4%20.0%2.1%4.5%13.3%15.4%25.3%
Jansen+0.7+0.0-0.4-0.4+0.9+0.7+2.5
Alcantara+3.1-1.9-0.3-0.3-1.3+5.0-1.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Danny Jansen is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Sandy Alcantara is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Jansen has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Sandy Alcantara throws a Sinker 28% of the time. Danny Jansen has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
28%
   Changeup (R)
25%
   4-Seam (R)
23%
   Slider (R)
22%

Contact and Outcomes

12.1% of Danny Jansen's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% lower than the league average. Sandy Alcantara strikes out 17.6% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -4.3% +2.6% 3%         Walk +3.5% -0.7% 39%         In Play +0.8% -1.9% 39%         On Base -4.1% -4.1% 31%         Hit -7.6% -3.3% 14%         Single -4.5% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B -4.0% -0.8% 3%         Home Run +0.9% -1.4%

History

No History in the last 3 years