Matchup Machine

Danny Jansen

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matchup for Freddy Peralta

380th out of 436 (Worst 13%)

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Freddy Peralta

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matchup for Danny Jansen

431st out of 567 (Worst 24%)

Moderate advantage for Jansen
3

Model Prediction

Danny Jansen has a 33.6% chance of reaching base vs Freddy Peralta, which is 1.0% lower than Jansen's typical expectations, and 4.2% higher than batters facing Peralta.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.6%15.4%2.8%3.7%8.8%18.2%25.5%
Jansen-1.0-4.6+0.3-1.2-3.6+3.6+2.8
Peralta+4.2-2.60.0-0.2-2.3+6.7-1.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Danny Jansen is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Freddy Peralta is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Jansen has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Freddy Peralta throws a 4-seam fastball 53% of the time. Danny Jansen has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
53%
   Slider (R)
22%
   Changeup (R)
14%
   Curve (R)
11%

Contact and Outcomes

12.1% of Danny Jansen's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% lower than the league average. Freddy Peralta strikes out 21.5% of the batters he faces, which is 8.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -4.3% +8.8% 3%         Walk +3.5% +1.0% 39%         In Play +0.8% -9.8% 39%         On Base -4.1% -6.8% 31%         Hit -7.6% -7.8% 14%         Single -4.5% -3.9% 13%         2B / 3B -4.0% -3.6% 3%         Home Run +0.9% -0.3%

History

No History in the last 3 years