matchup for Michael Wacha
3
Danny Jansen has a 33.0% chance of reaching base vs Michael Wacha, which is 1.4% lower than Jansen's typical expectations, and 1.8% higher than batters facing Wacha.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 33.0% | 19.1% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 21.5% |
| Jansen | -1.4 | -0.6 | +0.1 | -0.5 | -0.2 | -0.8 | -0.8 |
| Wacha | +1.8 | -4.0 | -0.3 | -0.5 | -3.2 | +5.8 | 0.0 |
Danny Jansen is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Michael Wacha is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Jansen has a B- grade vs this particular release point.
Michael Wacha throws a Changeup 32% of the time. Danny Jansen has a D grade against right-handed Changeups
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
Changeup (R)
32%
4-Seam (R)
31%
Cutter (R)
17%
Sinker (R)
11%
Curve (R)
8%
8% of Michael Wacha's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Danny Jansen has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Meatball
8%
+2%
Chaser
7%
+1%
Fringe Miss
13%
+1%
Edge Painter
18%
+1%
Mid Challenge
12%
+0%
Weak Challenge
8%
0%
Strong Challenge
5%
-1%
Likely Ball
18%
-2%
Non-Competitive
10%
-3%
32% of Michael Wacha's pitches are classified as Offspeed Pitches, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Danny Jansen has a D- grade against this type of pitch from right handers.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Offspeed (R)
32%
+20%
Medium Break
30%
+11%
High Ride
19%
+9%
12.2% of Danny Jansen's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.0% lower than the league average. Michael Wacha strikes out 16.3% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Strikeout
-4.0%
+0.4%
3%
Walk
+3.8%
-2.0%
39%
In Play
+0.2%
+1.5%
39%
On Base
-4.1%
-3.0%
31%
Hit
-7.9%
-1.0%
14%
Single
-4.6%
-0.6%
13%
2B / 3B
-4.2%
-0.5%
3%
Home Run
+0.9%
+0.1%
26.7% of Danny Jansen's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 7.7% lower than the league average. Michael Wacha induces Standard Grounders at a 33.6% rate, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
+1.2%
-0.3%
34%
Standard Grounder
-7.7%
-0.8%
7%
Hard Grounder
-2.3%
+0.4%
14%
Low Screamer
-0.6%
+1.3%
9%
Rising Liner
-2.3%
+1.0%
4%
Maybe Homer
+0.1%
-0.1%
3%
Likely Homer
+1.5%
-0.2%
1%
No Doubter
+2.9%
-0.1%
20%
Routine Flyout
+3.8%
-2.0%
3%
Pop up
+3.4%
+0.8%
24.8% of Danny Jansen's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 26.8% of batted balls allowed by Michael Wacha are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
+0.1%
0.0%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-1.1%
+0.2%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-3.0%
-0.2%
19%
94 to 99 mph
+3.5%
-2.5%
24%
Above 100 mph
+0.5%
+2.5%
13.2% of Danny Jansen's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.7% higher than the league average. 10.6% of batted balls allowed by Michael Wacha are hit at this angle, which is 0.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
-4.1%
-3.1%
12%
-10 to 0°
-2.7%
+1.6%
8%
1 to 6°
-2.3%
-0.8%
18%
7 to 18°
-2.5%
+3.2%
15%
19 to 28°
+4.8%
+1.0%
11%
29 to 38°
+1.7%
-0.9%
7%
39 to 50°
+0.9%
-1.7%
8%
Above 50°
+4.1%
+0.7%
Danny Jansen has 2 plate appearances against Michael Wacha in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a double and
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.89 | 0.00 | 0.48 | 0.41 | 0.443 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2022-10-02 | Double | 48% | 41% | 11% | |
| 2022-10-02 | Strikeout | ||||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
