Matchup Machine

Mauricio Dubon

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matchup for Hunter Gaddis

272nd out of 436 (Worst 38%)

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Hunter Gaddis

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matchup for Mauricio Dubon

501st out of 567 (Worst 12%)

Moderate advantage for Gaddis
3

Model Prediction

Mauricio Dubon has a 27.9% chance of reaching base vs Hunter Gaddis, which is 3.2% lower than Dubon's typical expectations, and 0.5% higher than batters facing Gaddis.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction27.9%23.5%1.5%4.5%17.5%4.4%18.0%
Dubon-3.2-2.5-0.1-0.7-1.7-0.6+2.3
Gaddis+0.5+4.1-1.6+0.1+5.7-3.6-9.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Mauricio Dubon is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Hunter Gaddis is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Dubon has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Hunter Gaddis throws a 4-seam fastball 39% of the time. Mauricio Dubon has a D+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
39%
   Slider (R)
31%
   Changeup (R)
18%
   Cutter (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

8.4% of Mauricio Dubon's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.4% lower than the league average. Hunter Gaddis strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -10.4% -0.6% 6%         Walk -3.8% -1.7% 34%         In Play +14.3% +2.4% 39%         On Base +4.5% -5.5% 31%         Hit +8.3% -3.8% 14%         Single +4.9% -2.8% 13%         2B / 3B +5.4% -2.4% 3%         Home Run -1.9% +1.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years