Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Mauricio Dubon

matchup for Jared Jones

207th out of 436 (Best 48%)

Jared Jones

matchup for Mauricio Dubon

439th out of 567 (Worst 23%)

Leans in favor of Jones

Mauricio Dubon has a 29.4% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 1.7% lower than Dubon's typical expectations, and 1.7% lower than batters facing Jones.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.4%	23.8%	1.6%	5.2%	17.0%	5.6%	19.2%
Dubon	-1.7	-2.3	0.0	-0.1	-2.2	+0.6	+3.4
Jones	-1.7	+3.0	-1.3	+0.1	+4.1	-4.7	-9.4

Mauricio Dubon is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Dubon has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Mauricio Dubon has a D+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Slider (R)

35%

Curve (R)

Changeup (R)

17% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Mauricio Dubon has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 17%

+6%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 6%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-4%

36% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Mauricio Dubon has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 36%

+16%

Extreme Fast Velo 18%

+15%

Breaking (R) 44%

+13%

High Ride 22%

+11%

8.4% of Mauricio Dubon's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.4% lower than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

18%

Strikeout -10.4% +0.4% 6%

Walk -3.8% +0.6% 34%

In Play +14.3% -1.1% 39%

On Base +4.5% -0.1% 31%

Hit +8.3% -0.8% 14%

Single +4.9% -1.1% 13%

2B / 3B +5.4% -0.5% 3%

Home Run -1.9% +0.9%

35.1% of Mauricio Dubon's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.7% higher than the league average. Jared Jones induces Standard Grounders at a 30.0% rate, which is 4.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.9% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.7% -4.4% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.5% +0.4% 14%

Low Screamer +4.0% -2.4% 9%

Rising Liner -0.4% +1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.9% +1.5% 3%

Likely Homer -2.1% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter -0.9% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.7% +1.5% 3%

Pop up +1.7% +2.5%

13.4% of Mauricio Dubon's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 10.9% lower than the league average. 24.7% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +5.9% +1.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph +3.9% -4.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph +3.1% -2.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.0% +5.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -10.9% +0.4%

12.5% of Mauricio Dubon's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.1% higher than the league average. 8.9% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%