matchup for Chase Silseth
matchup for Mauricio Dubon
2
Mauricio Dubon has a 32.1% chance of reaching base vs Chase Silseth, which is 1.1% higher than Dubon's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Silseth.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 32.1% | 25.7% | 1.6% | 4.5% | 19.6% | 6.4% | 19.7% |
| Dubon | +1.1 | -0.3 | 0.0 | -0.8 | +0.5 | +1.3 | +3.1 |
| Silseth | -0.2 | +5.1 | -1.1 | +0.5 | +5.7 | -5.3 | -8.6 |
Mauricio Dubon is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Chase Silseth is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Dubon has an A grade vs this particular release point.
Chase Silseth throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Mauricio Dubon has a D+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (R)
38%
Slider (R)
24%
Splitter (R)
17%
Sinker (R)
12%
Cutter (R)
6%
9% of Chase Silseth's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Mauricio Dubon has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Weak Challenge
9%
+1%
Non-Competitive
14%
+1%
Strong Challenge
6%
+1%
Edge Painter
17%
+0%
Chaser
6%
+0%
Likely Ball
19%
+0%
Fringe Miss
12%
0%
Mid Challenge
10%
-1%
Meatball
4%
-2%
35% of Chase Silseth's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Mauricio Dubon has a C grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Medium Break
35%
+16%
Fast Velo
28%
+13%
Large Drop
14%
+9%
8.7% of Mauricio Dubon's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.9% lower than the league average. Chase Silseth strikes out 18.2% of the batters he faces, which is 5.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.
18%
Strikeout
-9.9%
+5.2%
6%
Walk
-3.8%
+4.8%
34%
In Play
+13.7%
-10.0%
39%
On Base
+4.3%
-0.6%
31%
Hit
+8.1%
-5.4%
14%
Single
+4.8%
-3.2%
13%
2B / 3B
+5.3%
-2.8%
3%
Home Run
-2.0%
+0.5%
35.1% of Mauricio Dubon's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.7% higher than the league average. Chase Silseth induces Standard Grounders at a 35.7% rate, which is 1.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
+0.9%
-0.4%
34%
Standard Grounder
+0.7%
+1.3%
7%
Hard Grounder
-2.4%
-0.5%
14%
Low Screamer
+4.0%
-2.1%
9%
Rising Liner
-0.3%
-0.6%
4%
Maybe Homer
-0.8%
-0.8%
3%
Likely Homer
-2.1%
+3.6%
1%
No Doubter
-0.8%
-1.0%
20%
Routine Flyout
-0.8%
+1.3%
3%
Pop up
+1.7%
-0.8%
13.4% of Mauricio Dubon's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 10.9% lower than the league average. 29.9% of batted balls allowed by Chase Silseth are hit at above 100 mph, which is 5.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
+6.0%
-0.4%
21%
75 to 86 mph
+3.9%
-5.8%
18%
87 to 93 mph
+3.1%
+4.8%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-2.0%
-4.2%
24%
Above 100 mph
-10.9%
+5.6%
12.6% of Mauricio Dubon's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.1% higher than the league average. 12.9% of batted balls allowed by Chase Silseth are hit at this angle, which is 1.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+0.7%
-1.7%
12%
-10 to 0°
-1.4%
+0.9%
8%
1 to 6°
-0.6%
-2.4%
18%
7 to 18°
-0.6%
+6.1%
15%
19 to 28°
-0.6%
+1.0%
11%
29 to 38°
+1.1%
+1.4%
7%
39 to 50°
-0.9%
-1.6%
8%
Above 50°
+2.3%
-3.8%
Mauricio Dubon has 2 plate appearances against Chase Silseth in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.059 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2023-08-13 | Groundout | 3% | 97% | ||
| 2023-08-13 | Forceout | 8% | 92% | ||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
