Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Mauricio Dubon

matchup for Ryan Weathers

334th out of 436 (Worst 24%)

Ryan Weathers

matchup for Mauricio Dubon

315th out of 567 (Worst 45%)

Leans in favor of Dubon

Mauricio Dubon has a 31.3% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 0.2% higher than Dubon's typical expectations, and 1.4% higher than batters facing Weathers.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.3%	26.4%	1.1%	5.7%	19.7%	4.9%	14.5%
Dubon	+0.2	+0.4	-0.6	+0.4	+0.5	-0.2	-1.3
Weathers	+1.4	+4.9	-1.0	+0.1	+5.8	-3.5	-10.3

Mauricio Dubon is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Dubon has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.

Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Mauricio Dubon has an F grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

44%

Slider (L)

25%

Changeup (L)

18%

Sinker (L)

13%

12% of Ryan Weathers's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Mauricio Dubon has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Edge Painter 17%

Weak Challenge 8%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

53% of Ryan Weathers's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 32% higher than the MLB average. Mauricio Dubon has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 53%

+32%

Fast Velo 28%

+19%

Low Ride 37%

+14%

8.4% of Mauricio Dubon's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.4% lower than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

18%

Strikeout -10.4% -2.1% 6%

Walk -3.8% -0.6% 34%

In Play +14.3% +2.7% 39%

On Base +4.5% +0.9% 31%

Hit +8.3% +1.5% 14%

Single +4.9% +0.9% 13%

2B / 3B +5.4% +1.2% 3%

Home Run -1.9% -0.5%

35.1% of Mauricio Dubon's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.7% higher than the league average. Ryan Weathers induces Standard Grounders at a 40.1% rate, which is 5.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.9% +0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.7% +5.7% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.5% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer +4.0% -1.1% 9%

Rising Liner -0.4% -1.3% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.9% +1.4% 3%

Likely Homer -2.1% -0.7% 1%

No Doubter -0.9% +0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.7% -5.5% 3%

Pop up +1.7% +1.2%

13.4% of Mauricio Dubon's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 10.9% lower than the league average. 25.4% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Weathers are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +5.9% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph +3.9% +1.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph +3.1% -0.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.0% -2.0% 24%

Above 100 mph -10.9% +1.1%

12.5% of Mauricio Dubon's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.1% higher than the league average. 7.7% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Weathers are hit at this angle, which is 3.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%