matchup for Chris Paddack
matchup for Mauricio Dubon
6
Mauricio Dubon has a 32.6% chance of reaching base vs Chris Paddack, which is 1.6% higher than Dubon's typical expectations, and 0.7% higher than batters facing Paddack.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 32.6% | 28.5% | 2.0% | 5.5% | 21.0% | 4.1% | 12.9% |
| Dubon | +1.6 | +2.6 | +0.4 | +0.2 | +2.0 | -1.0 | -3.7 |
| Paddack | +0.7 | +4.3 | -1.2 | -0.4 | +5.9 | -3.6 | -7.9 |
Mauricio Dubon is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Chris Paddack is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Dubon has a C- grade vs this particular release point.
Chris Paddack throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Mauricio Dubon has a D+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (R)
56%
Changeup (R)
28%
Curve (R)
12%
14% of Chris Paddack's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Mauricio Dubon has a C- grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Mid Challenge
14%
+3%
Strong Challenge
7%
+2%
Edge Painter
18%
+1%
Fringe Miss
14%
+1%
Chaser
7%
+1%
Meatball
6%
0%
Weak Challenge
6%
-2%
Likely Ball
17%
-2%
Non-Competitive
10%
-3%
42% of Chris Paddack's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Mauricio Dubon has a D grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Large Break
42%
+21%
High Ride
29%
+19%
Offspeed (R)
28%
+16%
Fast Velo
25%
+10%
8.7% of Mauricio Dubon's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.9% lower than the league average. Chris Paddack strikes out 17.6% of the batters he faces, which is 3.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.
18%
Strikeout
-9.9%
+3.4%
6%
Walk
-3.8%
-2.6%
34%
In Play
+13.7%
-0.9%
39%
On Base
+4.3%
-2.5%
31%
Hit
+8.1%
+0.1%
14%
Single
+4.8%
-0.4%
13%
2B / 3B
+5.3%
+0.0%
3%
Home Run
-2.0%
+0.5%
35.1% of Mauricio Dubon's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.7% higher than the league average. Chris Paddack induces Standard Grounders at a 29.2% rate, which is 5.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
+0.9%
+1.1%
34%
Standard Grounder
+0.7%
-5.2%
7%
Hard Grounder
-2.4%
+1.2%
14%
Low Screamer
+4.0%
-0.3%
9%
Rising Liner
-0.3%
+1.4%
4%
Maybe Homer
-0.8%
+1.3%
3%
Likely Homer
-2.1%
-0.6%
1%
No Doubter
-0.8%
-0.1%
20%
Routine Flyout
-0.8%
+0.6%
3%
Pop up
+1.7%
+0.5%
13.4% of Mauricio Dubon's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 10.9% lower than the league average. 29.7% of batted balls allowed by Chris Paddack are hit at above 100 mph, which is 5.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
+6.0%
-4.2%
21%
75 to 86 mph
+3.9%
+0.7%
18%
87 to 93 mph
+3.1%
-2.0%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-2.0%
+0.2%
24%
Above 100 mph
-10.9%
+5.4%
12.6% of Mauricio Dubon's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.1% higher than the league average. 11.2% of batted balls allowed by Chris Paddack are hit at this angle, which is 0.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+0.7%
-2.4%
12%
-10 to 0°
-1.4%
+0.2%
8%
1 to 6°
-0.6%
-1.1%
18%
7 to 18°
-0.6%
+1.4%
15%
19 to 28°
-0.6%
+1.7%
11%
29 to 38°
+1.1%
-0.2%
7%
39 to 50°
-0.9%
+0.7%
8%
Above 50°
+2.3%
-0.2%
No History in the last 3 years
